PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Independiente Rivadavia 2–1 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Independiente Rivadavia won 2–1.

Shots
196
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
2.580.53
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Independiente Rivadavia beat Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2–1. Recorded in this match (Independiente Rivadavia – Estudiantes de Río Cuarto): shots 19–6, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 2.58–0.53, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.37 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.37 goals/match1.02 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Independiente Rivadavia show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Independiente Rivadavia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsIndependiente Rivadavia · Estudiantes de Río Cuarto10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricIndependiente RivadaviaEstudiantes de Río CuartoBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match10.5 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against12 shots/match13.7 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots6 shotsIndependiente Rivadavia 19 shots, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 6 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsIndependiente Rivadavia 3 shots, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.58 xG0.53 xGIndependiente Rivadavia 2.58 xG, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 0.53 xG
  • Possession65%35%Independiente Rivadavia 65%, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 35%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersIndependiente Rivadavia 4 corners, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls11 foulsIndependiente Rivadavia 10 fouls, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Independiente Rivadavia
0Draws
0Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto — Independiente Rivadavia · Liga Profesional de Fútbol0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Independiente Rivadavia favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Estudiantes de Río Cuarto in 1 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Independiente Rivadavia19 matchesEstudiantes de Río Cuarto19 matches
1.79 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/190.37 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed19/191.37 goals/match
2.24 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/30.7 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots19/1910.5 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/192.21 shots/match
48.9% ●Possession19/1947.4%
4.37 corners/matchCorners19/19● 4.47 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards10/102.5 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Aug 2026, 04:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIndependiente RivadaviaEstudiantes de Río Cuarto
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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