K League 1 · 2025

Jeju SK 1–2 Ulsan HD · K League 1

Jeju SK

DWLLL
1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ulsan HD won 1–2.

Shots
1716
Shots on target
49
Expected goals
2.431.83
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ulsan HD beat Jeju SK 2–1. Recorded in this match (Jeju SK – Ulsan HD): shots 17–16, shots on target 4–9, expected goals 2.43–1.83, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Jeju SK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Jeju SK's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ulsan HD.

5 days ▲Rest daysJeju SK · Ulsan HD6 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricJeju SKUlsan HDBaseline
Rest days5 days6 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots16 shotsJeju SK 17 shots, Ulsan HD 16 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots9 shotsJeju SK 4 shots, Ulsan HD 9 shots
  • Expected goals2.43 xG1.83 xGJeju SK 2.43 xG, Ulsan HD 1.83 xG
  • Possession45%55%Jeju SK 45%, Ulsan HD 55%
  • Corners2 corners12 cornersJeju SK 2 corners, Ulsan HD 12 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls13 foulsJeju SK 9 fouls, Ulsan HD 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Jeju SK
0Draws
4Ulsan HD
Ulsan HD — Jeju SK · K League 12–0
Jeju SK — Ulsan HD · K League 11–0
Jeju SK — Ulsan HD · K League 12–3
Ulsan HD — Jeju SK · K League 13–1
Ulsan HD — Jeju SK · K League 12–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Jeju SK favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Ulsan HD in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Jeju SK13 matchesUlsan HD15 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored13/15▲ 1.13 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed13/15▲ 0.8 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals13/15▲ 1.91 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots13/15▲ 15.9 shots/match
3.77 shots/matchShots on target13/15▲ 4.73 shots/match
52.7%Possession13/15● 60.5%
4 corners/matchCorners13/15● 6 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls13/1511.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 May 2025, 11:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

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