PitchMath
K League 1 · 2025

Daejeon Hana Citizen 2–1 Daegu FC · K League 1

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Daejeon Hana Citizen won 2–1.

Shots
99
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.410.96
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Daejeon Hana Citizen beat Daegu FC 2–1. Recorded in this match (Daejeon Hana Citizen – Daegu FC): shots 9–9, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.41–0.96, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Daejeon Hana Citizen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Daejeon Hana Citizen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.38 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Daegu FC have a visible away split

moderate

Daegu FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Daegu FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Daegu FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.69 shots/match ▲ShotsDaejeon Hana Citizen · Daegu FC13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDaejeon Hana CitizenDaegu FCBaseline
Shots8.69 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against16 shots/match14.2 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots9 shotsDaejeon Hana Citizen 9 shots, Daegu FC 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsDaejeon Hana Citizen 5 shots, Daegu FC 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.41 xG0.96 xGDaejeon Hana Citizen 1.41 xG, Daegu FC 0.96 xG
  • Possession44%56%Daejeon Hana Citizen 44%, Daegu FC 56%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersDaejeon Hana Citizen 4 corners, Daegu FC 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsDaejeon Hana Citizen 12 fouls, Daegu FC 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Daejeon Hana Citizen
2Draws
0Daegu FC
Daegu FC — Daejeon Hana Citizen · K League 11–2
Daejeon Hana Citizen — Daegu FC · K League 11–0
Daegu FC — Daejeon Hana Citizen · K League 11–1
Daejeon Hana Citizen — Daegu FC · K League 11–0
Daegu FC — Daejeon Hana Citizen · K League 10–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Daejeon Hana Citizen favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Daegu FC in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Daejeon Hana Citizen16 matchesDaegu FC15 matches
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/151.13 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed16/151.6 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals16/151.22 xG/match
8.69 shots/matchShots16/15▲ 13.3 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target16/15▲ 4.27 shots/match
49.6%Possession16/15● 50.2%
3.25 corners/matchCorners16/15● 5.13 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls16/1510.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 May 2025, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDaejeon Hana CitizenDaegu FC
CompetitionK League 1K League 1 2025
Head-to-headDaejeon Hana Citizen — Daegu FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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