K League 1 · 2025

Ulsan HD 1–0 Jeju SK · K League 1

1–0Historical match

Jeju SK

LDWWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ulsan HD won 1–0.

Shots
214
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
2.170.13
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ulsan HD beat Jeju SK 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ulsan HD – Jeju SK): shots 21–4, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 2.17–0.13, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Jeju SK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Jeju SK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Ulsan HD show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Ulsan HD's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsUlsan HD · Jeju SK12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricUlsan HDJeju SKBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Ulsan HD have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.5% ●PossessionUlsan HD · Jeju SK51.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricUlsan HDJeju SKBaseline
Possession59.5%51.5%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots4 shotsUlsan HD 21 shots, Jeju SK 4 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotUlsan HD 6 shots, Jeju SK 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.17 xG0.13 xGUlsan HD 2.17 xG, Jeju SK 0.13 xG
  • Possession49%51%Ulsan HD 49%, Jeju SK 51%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersUlsan HD 3 corners, Jeju SK 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsUlsan HD 12 fouls, Jeju SK 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Ulsan HD
0Draws
1Jeju SK
Jeju SK — Ulsan HD · K League 11–2
Ulsan HD — Jeju SK · K League 12–0
Jeju SK — Ulsan HD · K League 11–0
Jeju SK — Ulsan HD · K League 12–3
Ulsan HD — Jeju SK · K League 13–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ulsan HD favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Jeju SK in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ulsan HD25 matchesJeju SK25 matches
1.24 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.08 goals/match
1.16 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.32 goals/match
1.77 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/251.15 xG/match
15.7 shots/match ▲Shots25/2512.2 shots/match
4.64 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/253.92 shots/match
59.5% ●Possession25/2551.5%
6.2 corners/match ●Corners25/253.6 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls25/2512.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Aug 2025, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

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