PitchMath
K League 1 · 2025

Gwangju FC 2–3 Daegu FC · K League 1

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Daegu FC won 2–3.

Shots
1612
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
3.112.55
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Daegu FC beat Gwangju FC 3–2. Recorded in this match (Gwangju FC – Daegu FC): shots 16–12, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 3.11–2.55, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Daegu FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Daegu FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.22 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.22 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots12 shotsGwangju FC 16 shots, Daegu FC 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsGwangju FC 6 shots, Daegu FC 5 shots
  • Expected goals3.11 xG2.55 xGGwangju FC 3.11 xG, Daegu FC 2.55 xG
  • Possession61%39%Gwangju FC 61%, Daegu FC 39%
  • Corners3 corners8 cornersGwangju FC 3 corners, Daegu FC 8 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls13 foulsGwangju FC 6 fouls, Daegu FC 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Gwangju FC
2Draws
1Daegu FC
Daegu FC — Gwangju FC · K League 11–1
Gwangju FC — Daegu FC · K League 12–1
Gwangju FC — Daegu FC · K League 11–1
Daegu FC — Gwangju FC · K League 10–1
Daegu FC — Gwangju FC · K League 13–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Gwangju FC favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Daegu FC in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Gwangju FC32 matchesDaegu FC32 matches
1.06 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 1.22 goals/match
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/321.88 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals32/321.18 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots32/32▲ 13.1 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target32/32▲ 4.19 shots/match
49.1% ●Possession32/3248.7%
4.13 corners/matchCorners32/32● 4.38 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls32/3210.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 09:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGwangju FCDaegu FC
CompetitionK League 1K League 1 2025
Head-to-headGwangju FC — Daegu FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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