PitchMath
K League 1 · 2025

Daejeon Hana Citizen 3–1 Jeju SK · K League 1

3–1Historical match

Jeju SK

LLLLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Daejeon Hana Citizen won 3–1.

Shots
1721
Shots on target
87
Expected goals
1.933.05
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Daejeon Hana Citizen beat Jeju SK 3–1. Recorded in this match (Daejeon Hana Citizen – Jeju SK): shots 17–21, shots on target 8–7, expected goals 1.93–3.05, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Daejeon Hana Citizen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Daejeon Hana Citizen's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.42 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.42 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots21 shotsDaejeon Hana Citizen 17 shots, Jeju SK 21 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots7 shotsDaejeon Hana Citizen 8 shots, Jeju SK 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.93 xG3.05 xGDaejeon Hana Citizen 1.93 xG, Jeju SK 3.05 xG
  • Possession55%45%Daejeon Hana Citizen 55%, Jeju SK 45%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersDaejeon Hana Citizen 2 corners, Jeju SK 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls10 foulsDaejeon Hana Citizen 9 fouls, Jeju SK 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Daejeon Hana Citizen
1Draws
2Jeju SK
Daejeon Hana Citizen — Jeju SK · K League 11–1
Jeju SK — Daejeon Hana Citizen · K League 11–3
Daejeon Hana Citizen — Jeju SK · K League 12–1
Jeju SK — Daejeon Hana Citizen · K League 12–1
Daejeon Hana Citizen — Jeju SK · K League 10–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Daejeon Hana Citizen favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Jeju SK in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Daejeon Hana Citizen33 matchesJeju SK33 matches
1.42 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/331.06 goals/match
1.21 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/331.42 goals/match
1.34 xG/match ▲Expected goals33/331.17 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots33/33▲ 12.3 shots/match
4.06 shots/matchShots on target33/333.88 shots/match
50.2%Possession33/33● 50.6%
3.94 corners/match ●Corners33/333.42 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls33/3311.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 09:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDaejeon Hana CitizenJeju SK
CompetitionK League 1K League 1 2025
Head-to-headDaejeon Hana Citizen — Jeju SK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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