PitchMath
K League 1 · 2025

Daejeon Hana Citizen 3–1 FC Seoul · K League 1

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Daejeon Hana Citizen won 3–1.

Shots
279
Shots on target
102
Expected goals
2.781.26
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Daejeon Hana Citizen beat FC Seoul 3–1. Recorded in this match (Daejeon Hana Citizen – FC Seoul): shots 27–9, shots on target 10–2, expected goals 2.78–1.26, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Daejeon Hana Citizen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Daejeon Hana Citizen's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.49 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.49 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Seoul show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Seoul's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsDaejeon Hana Citizen · FC Seoul16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDaejeon Hana CitizenFC SeoulBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match16 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against15.2 shots/match10 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

FC Seoul have a visible away split

moderate

FC Seoul's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match16 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots27 shots9 shotsDaejeon Hana Citizen 27 shots, FC Seoul 9 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots2 shotsDaejeon Hana Citizen 10 shots, FC Seoul 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.78 xG1.26 xGDaejeon Hana Citizen 2.78 xG, FC Seoul 1.26 xG
  • Possession48%52%Daejeon Hana Citizen 48%, FC Seoul 52%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersDaejeon Hana Citizen 8 corners, FC Seoul 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls11 foulsDaejeon Hana Citizen 10 fouls, FC Seoul 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Daejeon Hana Citizen
2Draws
2FC Seoul
Daejeon Hana Citizen — FC Seoul · K League 10–1
Daejeon Hana Citizen — FC Seoul · K League 10–0
FC Seoul — Daejeon Hana Citizen · K League 12–2
FC Seoul — Daejeon Hana Citizen · K League 12–3
FC Seoul — Daejeon Hana Citizen · K League 12–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Daejeon Hana Citizen favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · FC Seoul in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Daejeon Hana Citizen35 matchesFC Seoul35 matches
1.49 goals/match ▲Goals scored35/351.37 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed35/351.34 goals/match
1.38 xG/matchExpected goals35/35▲ 1.49 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots35/35▲ 16 shots/match
4.23 shots/matchShots on target35/35▲ 5.26 shots/match
50.4%Possession35/35● 54.4%
3.97 corners/matchCorners35/35● 5.71 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls35/359.89 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Nov 2025, 09:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDaejeon Hana CitizenFC Seoul
CompetitionK League 1K League 1 2025
Head-to-headDaejeon Hana Citizen — FC Seoul
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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