PitchMath
K League 1 · 2025

Daegu FC 1–0 Gwangju FC · K League 1

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Daegu FC won 1–0.

Shots
144
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
1.050.61
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Daegu FC beat Gwangju FC 1–0. Recorded in this match (Daegu FC – Gwangju FC): shots 14–4, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 1.05–0.61, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Daegu FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Daegu FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.22 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.22 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots4 shotsDaegu FC 14 shots, Gwangju FC 4 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotDaegu FC 3 shots, Gwangju FC 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.05 xG0.61 xGDaegu FC 1.05 xG, Gwangju FC 0.61 xG
  • Possession57%43%Daegu FC 57%, Gwangju FC 43%
  • Corners9 corners2 cornersDaegu FC 9 corners, Gwangju FC 2 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls9 foulsDaegu FC 8 fouls, Gwangju FC 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Daegu FC
2Draws
2Gwangju FC
Gwangju FC — Daegu FC · K League 12–3
Daegu FC — Gwangju FC · K League 11–1
Gwangju FC — Daegu FC · K League 12–1
Gwangju FC — Daegu FC · K League 11–1
Daegu FC — Gwangju FC · K League 10–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Daegu FC favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Gwangju FC in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Daegu FC36 matchesGwangju FC36 matches
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals scored36/361.03 goals/match
1.78 goals/matchGoals allowed36/36▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals36/361.16 xG/match
12.8 shots/match ▲Shots36/3610.9 shots/match
4.06 shots/match ▲Shots on target36/363.69 shots/match
48.8% ●Possession36/3648.6%
4.36 corners/match ●Corners36/364.03 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls36/3610.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 09:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDaegu FCGwangju FC
CompetitionK League 1K League 1 2025
Head-to-headDaegu FC — Gwangju FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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