PitchMath
K League 1 · 2025

Gwangju FC 2–0 Ulsan HD · K League 1

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Gwangju FC won 2–0.

Shots
1013
Shots on target
21
Expected goals
1.20.72
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Gwangju FC beat Ulsan HD 2–0. Recorded in this match (Gwangju FC – Ulsan HD): shots 10–13, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 1.2–0.72, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Gwangju FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Gwangju FC's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.8 shots/match10.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Ulsan HD have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.4%PossessionGwangju FC · Ulsan HD● 57.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGwangju FCUlsan HDBaseline
Possession48.4%57.1%50.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots13 shotsGwangju FC 10 shots, Ulsan HD 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotGwangju FC 2 shots, Ulsan HD 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.2 xG0.72 xGGwangju FC 1.2 xG, Ulsan HD 0.72 xG
  • Possession41%59%Gwangju FC 41%, Ulsan HD 59%
  • Corners0 corners9 cornersGwangju FC 0 corners, Ulsan HD 9 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls12 foulsGwangju FC 13 fouls, Ulsan HD 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Gwangju FC
1Draws
3Ulsan HD
Ulsan HD — Gwangju FC · K League 12–0
Gwangju FC — Ulsan HD · Korean FA Cup1–0
Gwangju FC — Ulsan HD · K League 11–1
Ulsan HD — Gwangju FC · K League 13–0
Gwangju FC — Ulsan HD · K League 10–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Gwangju FC favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Ulsan HD in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Gwangju FC37 matchesUlsan HD37 matches
1.05 goals/matchGoals scored37/37▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals allowed37/371.32 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals37/36▲ 1.55 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots37/37▲ 14.7 shots/match
3.65 shots/matchShots on target37/37▲ 4.19 shots/match
48.4%Possession37/37● 57.1%
3.92 corners/matchCorners37/37● 5.68 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls37/3711.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 11:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGwangju FCUlsan HD
CompetitionK League 1K League 1 2025
Head-to-headGwangju FC — Ulsan HD
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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