PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Estudiantes de La Plata 4–0 Gimnasia y Esgrima · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

4–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Estudiantes de La Plata won 4–0.

Shots
228
Shots on target
83
Expected goals
2.40.53
Possession
77%23%

Full time

What the match recorded

Estudiantes de La Plata beat Gimnasia y Esgrima 4–0. Recorded in this match (Estudiantes de La Plata – Gimnasia y Esgrima): shots 22–8, shots on target 8–3, expected goals 2.4–0.53, possession 77%–23%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Estudiantes de La Plata show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Estudiantes de La Plata's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsEstudiantes de La Plata · Gimnasia y Esgrima10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEstudiantes de La PlataGimnasia y EsgrimaBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match10.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against11.5 shots/match15.5 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Gimnasia y Esgrima's recent record differs from the season

weak

Gimnasia y Esgrima's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1 goal/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Gimnasia y Esgrima have a visible away split

moderate

Gimnasia y Esgrima's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match10.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots8 shotsEstudiantes de La Plata 22 shots, Gimnasia y Esgrima 8 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots3 shotsEstudiantes de La Plata 8 shots, Gimnasia y Esgrima 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.4 xG0.53 xGEstudiantes de La Plata 2.4 xG, Gimnasia y Esgrima 0.53 xG
  • Possession77%23%Estudiantes de La Plata 77%, Gimnasia y Esgrima 23%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersEstudiantes de La Plata 7 corners, Gimnasia y Esgrima 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls15 foulsEstudiantes de La Plata 14 fouls, Gimnasia y Esgrima 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Estudiantes de La Plata
1Draws
0Gimnasia y Esgrima
Gimnasia y Esgrima — Estudiantes de La Plata · Liga Profesional de Fútbol0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Estudiantes de La Plata favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Gimnasia y Esgrima in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Estudiantes de La Plata22 matchesGimnasia y Esgrima21 matches
1.18 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/211 goal/match
0.59 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/211.29 goals/match
1.28 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/41.12 xG/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots22/2110.7 shots/match
4.95 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/213.62 shots/match
54.4% ●Possession22/2144.7%
4.14 corners/match ●Corners22/213.86 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls22/2112.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples22 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Aug 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEstudiantes de La PlataGimnasia y Esgrima
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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