PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Gimnasia y Esgrima 2–3 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

2–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza won 2–3.

Shots
1514
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
1.481.98
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza beat Gimnasia y Esgrima 3–2. Recorded in this match (Gimnasia y Esgrima – Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza): shots 15–14, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 1.48–1.98, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.02 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza have a visible away split

strong

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.3 shots/match11.9 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsGimnasia y Esgrima · Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGimnasia y EsgrimaGimnasia y Esgrima MendozaBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match11.9 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against15.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots14 shotsGimnasia y Esgrima 15 shots, Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 14 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsGimnasia y Esgrima 5 shots, Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.48 xG1.98 xGGimnasia y Esgrima 1.48 xG, Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 1.98 xG
  • Possession57%43%Gimnasia y Esgrima 57%, Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 43%
  • Corners6 corners1 cornerGimnasia y Esgrima 6 corners, Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 1 corner
  • Fouls4 fouls24 foulsGimnasia y Esgrima 4 fouls, Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 24 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Gimnasia y Esgrima
0Draws
0Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza — Gimnasia y Esgrima · Liga Profesional de Fútbol0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Gimnasia y Esgrima favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza in 6 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Gimnasia y Esgrima22 matchesGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza22 matches
1.05 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed22/221.32 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals5/4▲ 1.91 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 11.9 shots/match
3.68 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 4.27 shots/match
45.3% ●Possession22/2244.4%
3.95 corners/match ●Corners22/223.64 corners/match
3.2 cards/matchCards10/93 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls22/2212.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Aug 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGimnasia y EsgrimaGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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