UEFA Champions League · 2023Wed, 2 Aug 2023, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
02Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAstanaGNK Dinamo Zagreb
Shots14 shots/match6 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match4 shots/match
Corners8 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match14 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Astana
0Draws
1GNK Dinamo Zagreb
GNK Dinamo ZagrebAstana · UEFA Champions League40

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Astana favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · GNK Dinamo Zagreb in 0 · 13 too close

0.75 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/2
2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/2
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
11 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/2
12 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/2
2.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/2
6 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/2
Possessionseason · 2/1
5.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/2
6.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/2
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/2
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/2
50%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/2

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Astana
GNK Dinamo Zagreb
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Astana20
GNK Dinamo Zagreb
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 83%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Astana28.3
GNK Dinamo Zagreb
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 83%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Astana
GNK Dinamo Zagreb
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Astana12.5
GNK Dinamo Zagreb
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 38%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Astana53.3
GNK Dinamo Zagreb
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Astana28.9
GNK Dinamo Zagreb
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 81%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Astana4 matchesGNK Dinamo Zagreb2 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/2
2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/2
Expected goals0/0
11 shots/matchShots3/2
2.33 shots/matchShots on target3/2
Possession2/1
5.5 corners/matchCorners4/2
Cards0/0
11.7 fouls/matchFouls3/2

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Astana2 matchesGNK Dinamo Zagreb1 matches
Goals scored2/1
Goals allowed2/1
Expected goals0/0
Shots2/1
Shots on target2/1
Possession1/0
Corners2/1
Cards0/0
Fouls2/1

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.83 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.83 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples4 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 2 Aug 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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