Serie A · 2023Mon, 21 Aug 2023, 18:45 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
02Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBolognaMilan
Shots17 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match6 shots/match
Expected goals1.06 xG/match0.9 xG/match
Possession53%47%
Corners3 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match4 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Charalampos Lykogiannis · Bologna · 1′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 42′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Pobega · Milan · 84′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristian Pulišić · Milan · 21′ · 0.02 xG · goalLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Reijnders · Milan · 62′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDan Ndoye · Bologna · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDan Ndoye · Bologna · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRuben Loftus-Cheek · Milan · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 34′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKacper Urbański · Bologna · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJoshua Zirkzee · Bologna · 15′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRafael Leão · Milan · 29′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Giroud · Milan · 28′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMichel Aebischer · Bologna · 61′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDan Ndoye · Bologna · 86′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedStefan Posch · Bologna · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Reijnders · Milan · 7′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedStefan Posch · Bologna · 61′ · 0.14 xG · on targetCharalampos Lykogiannis · Bologna · 45′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 60′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Giroud · Milan · 11′ · 0.23 xG · goalRafael Leão · Milan · 89′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bologna: 17 shots, 5 on target, 1.04 xG. Milan: 9 shots, 5 on target, 0.94 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Olivier Giroud · Milan · 11′Christian Pulišić · Milan · 21′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bologna 1.04 xG · Milan 0.94 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Bologna
2Draws
2Milan
BolognaMilan · Serie A11
MilanBologna · Serie A20
MilanBologna · Serie A00
BolognaMilan · Serie A24

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · Unavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 21 Aug 2023, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4