Serie A · 2023Sat, 26 Aug 2023, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
20Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricMonzaEmpoli
Shots20 shots/match18 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match6 shots/match
Expected goals1.99 xG/match0.97 xG/match
Possession54%46%
Corners6 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Matteo Cancellieri · Empoli · 18′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDany Mota · Monza · 26′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Gyasi · Empoli · 38′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLiberato Cacace · Empoli · 48′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedValentín Carboni · Monza · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Gagliardini · Monza · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRăzvan Marin · Empoli · 49′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRăzvan Marin · Empoli · 66′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAndrea Colpani · Monza · 45′ · 0.03 xG · goalGianluca Caprari · Monza · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Empoli · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArdian Ismajli · Empoli · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTyronne Ebuehi · Empoli · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Caprari · Monza · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Colpani · Monza · 2′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Cancellieri · Empoli · 38′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFrancesco Caputo · Empoli · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Gagliardini · Monza · 82′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Empoli · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Colpani · Monza · 29′ · 0.06 xG · on targetFrancesco Caputo · Empoli · 48′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRoberto Gagliardini · Monza · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMirko Marić · Monza · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Ciurria · Monza · 7′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMatteo Cancellieri · Empoli · 9′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDany Mota · Monza · 17′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGiuseppe Pezzella · Empoli · 78′ · 0.09 xG · on targetFrancesco Caputo · Empoli · 48′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDany Mota · Monza · 64′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Haas · Empoli · 77′ · 0.10 xG · on targetPatrick Ciurria · Monza · 79′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFrancesco Caputo · Empoli · 50′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Empoli · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetGianluca Caprari · Monza · 30′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Colpani · Monza · 53′ · 0.13 xG · goalMirko Marić · Monza · 73′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Colpani · Monza · 25′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Vignato · Monza · 88′ · 0.45 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Monza: 20 shots, 5 on target, 2.02 xG. Empoli: 18 shots, 6 on target, 0.98 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Andrea Colpani · Monza · 45′Andrea Colpani · Monza · 53′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Monza 2.02 xG · Empoli 0.98 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Monza
0Draws
1Empoli
MonzaEmpoli · Serie A21
EmpoliMonza · Serie A10

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Monza favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Empoli in 0 · 13 too close

Goals scoredseason · 2/2
Goals allowedseason · 2/2
Expected goalsseason · 2/2
Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2
Shotsseason · 2/2
Shots allowedseason · 2/2
Shots on targetseason · 2/2
Shots on target allowedseason · 2/2
Possessionseason · 2/2
Cornersseason · 2/2
Corners allowedseason · 2/2
Cardsseason · 0/0
Foulsseason · 2/2
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 2/2
Scoring frequencyseason · 2/2

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Monza
Empoli
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Monza
Empoli
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Monza
Empoli
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Monza
Empoli
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Monza
Empoli
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Monza
Empoli
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Monza
Empoli
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Monza2 matchesEmpoli2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Monza1 matchesEmpoli1 matches
Goals scored1/1
Goals allowed1/1
Expected goals1/1
Shots1/1
Shots on target1/1
Possession1/1
Corners1/1
Cards0/0
Fouls1/1

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Aug 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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