Serie A · 2023

Inter 5–1 Milan · Serie A

5–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 5–1.

Shots
149
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
2.651.06
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Milan 5–1. Recorded in this match (Inter – Milan): shots 14–9, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 2.65–1.06, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.5 shots/match ▲ShotsInter · Milan11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInterMilanBaseline
Shots18.5 shots/match11 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against9.75 shots/match13 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Milan have a visible away split

weak

Milan's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match11 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots9 shotsInter 14 shots, Milan 9 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsInter 7 shots, Milan 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.65 xG1.06 xGInter 2.65 xG, Milan 1.06 xG
  • Possession40%60%Inter 40%, Milan 60%
  • Corners5 corners0 cornersInter 5 corners, Milan 0 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls13 foulsInter 16 fouls, Milan 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Davide Calabria · Milan · 13′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarcus Thuram · Inter · 38′ · 0.02 xG · goalTijjani Reijnders · Milan · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Augusto · Inter · 66′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDavide Calabria · Milan · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMalick Thiaw · Milan · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRuben Loftus-Cheek · Milan · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Bastoni · Inter · 10′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 17′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 51′ · 0.06 xG · on targetKristjan Asllani · Inter · 82′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Chukwueze · Milan · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 86′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 69′ · 0.11 xG · goalHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 11′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Giroud · Milan · 45′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedFrancesco Acerbi · Inter · 18′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedTheo Hernández · Milan · 31′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 5′ · 0.41 xG · goalRafael Leão · Milan · 57′ · 0.48 xG · goalDavide Frattesi · Inter · 90′ · 0.61 xG · goalHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 79′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Inter: 14 shots, 7 on target, 2.68 xG. Milan: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.08 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Henrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 5′Marcus Thuram · Inter · 38′Henrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 69′Hakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 79′Davide Frattesi · Inter · 90′Rafael Leão · Milan · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Inter 2.68 xG · Milan 1.08 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Inter
0Draws
2Milan
Inter — Milan · UEFA Champions League1–0
Milan — Inter · UEFA Champions League0–2
Inter — Milan · Serie A1–0
Milan — Inter · Serie A3–2
Inter — Milan · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Milan in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter4 matchesMilan4 matches
3.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/42.25 goals/match
0.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/41.75 goals/match
2.5 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.67 xG/match
18.5 shots/match ▲Shots4/411 shots/match
6 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/44.75 shots/match
48.8%Possession4/4● 55.8%
5.25 corners/match ●Corners4/43.25 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls4/411.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Sept 2023, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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