PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Lazio 2–0 Torino · Serie A

Lazio

LLWLD
2–0Historical match

Torino

DLWWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lazio won 2–0.

Shots
67
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.890.35
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lazio beat Torino 2–0. Recorded in this match (Lazio – Torino): shots 6–7, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.89–0.35, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Lazio, Torino.

4 days ▲Rest daysLazio · Torino3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLazioTorinoBaseline
Rest days4 days3 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Torino's recent record differs from the season

weak

Torino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lazio show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lazio's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsLazio · Torino9.83 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLazioTorinoBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match9.83 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match10.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots7 shotsLazio 6 shots, Torino 7 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsLazio 3 shots, Torino 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.89 xG0.35 xGLazio 0.89 xG, Torino 0.35 xG
  • Possession50%50%Lazio 50%, Torino 50%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersLazio 4 corners, Torino 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsLazio 12 fouls, Torino 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nikola Vlašić · Torino · 6′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAdam Marušić · Lazio · 42′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNikola Vlašić · Torino · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Ricci · Torino · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedValentino Lazaro · Torino · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCiro Immobile · Lazio · 71′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Casale · Lazio · 17′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNemanja Radonjić · Torino · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDuván Zapata · Torino · 43′ · 0.09 xG · on targetDuván Zapata · Torino · 6′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMatías Vecino · Lazio · 56′ · 0.11 xG · goalValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 88′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 75′ · 0.37 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lazio: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.88 xG. Torino: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.36 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Matías Vecino · Lazio · 56′Mattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lazio 0.88 xG · Torino 0.36 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Lazio
3Draws
1Torino
Lazio — Torino · Serie A0–1
Torino — Lazio · Serie A0–0
Lazio — Torino · Serie A1–1
Torino — Lazio · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lazio favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Torino in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lazio6 matchesTorino6 matches
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61 goal/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.03 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/60.83 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots6/69.83 shots/match
2.83 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/62.5 shots/match
54% ●Possession6/649.5%
5.5 corners/match ●Corners6/64 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls6/611.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 27 Sept 2023, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLazioTorino
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headLazio — Torino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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