Serie A · 2023Wed, 27 Sept 2023, 18:45 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Lazio

LLWLD

2–0Full-time recap

Torino

DLWWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Lazio	Torino
Shots	6 shots/match	7 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	0.89 xG/match▲	0.35 xG/match
Possession	50%	50%
Corners	4 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Lazio: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.88 xG. Torino: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.36 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lazio 0.88 xG · Torino 0.36 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Lazio, Torino. A second useful context is: Torino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Lazio, Torino.

4 days▲Rest daysLazio · Torino3 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Lazio	Torino	Baseline
Rest days	4 days	3 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Torino's recent record differs from the season

weak

Torino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	1 goals/match	1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lazio show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lazio's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.3 shots/match▲ShotsLazio · Torino9.83 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Lazio	Torino	Baseline
Shots	10.3 shots/match	9.83 shots/match	11.7 shots/match
Shots against	15 shots/match	10.5 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Lazio

3Draws

1Torino

22 Apr 2023Lazio — Torino · Serie A0–1

20 Aug 2022Torino — Lazio · Serie A0–0

16 Apr 2022Lazio — Torino · Serie A1–1

23 Sept 2021Torino — Lazio · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Lazio favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Torino in 6 · 3 too close

1.17 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 6/61 goals/match

1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/6▲1.17 goals/match

1.03 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 6/60.83 xG/match

1.21 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/6▲1.1 xG/match

10.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/69.83 shots/match

15 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/6▲10.5 shots/match

2.83 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 6/62.5 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/6▲3.5 shots/match

54%●Possessionseason · 6/649.5%

5.5 corners/match●Cornersseason · 6/64 corners/match

4.17 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/6▲1.83 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/611.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/6▲50%

83%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 6/667%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lazio67.5

Torino42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lazio30.8

Torino25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lazio32.5

Torino68.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lazio12.5

Torino17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lazio52.5

Torino42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lazio75

Torino40

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lazio43.1

Torino28.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Lazio6 matchesTorino6 matches

1.17 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61 goals/match

1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲1.17 goals/match

1.03 xG/match▲Expected goals6/60.83 xG/match

10.3 shots/matchShots6/69.83 shots/match

2.83 shots/match▲Shots on target6/62.5 shots/match

54%●Possession6/649.5%

5.5 corners/match●Corners6/64 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12 fouls/matchFouls6/611.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Lazio3 matchesTorino3 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲1.33 goals/match

0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/32 goals/match

1.13 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.89 xG/match

10 shots/match▲Shots3/38.67 shots/match

2 shots/matchShots on target3/32 shots/match

56.3%●Possession3/345%

6.67 corners/match●Corners3/31.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls3/315 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples6 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 27 Sept 2023, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4