Serie A · 2023

Frosinone 1–1 Fiorentina · Serie A

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Frosinone and Fiorentina drew 1–1.

Shots
1119
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
0.711.47
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Frosinone and Fiorentina drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Frosinone – Fiorentina): shots 11–19, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 0.71–1.47, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fiorentina's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fiorentina's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match2 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fiorentina show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Fiorentina's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsFrosinone · Fiorentina10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFrosinoneFiorentinaBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match10.8 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against17.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Fiorentina have recorded the higher season possession share.

49.3%PossessionFrosinone · Fiorentina● 57.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFrosinoneFiorentinaBaseline
Possession49.3%57.3%50.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots19 shotsFrosinone 11 shots, Fiorentina 19 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsFrosinone 3 shots, Fiorentina 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.71 xG1.47 xGFrosinone 0.71 xG, Fiorentina 1.47 xG
  • Possession52%48%Frosinone 52%, Fiorentina 48%
  • Corners8 corners10 cornersFrosinone 8 corners, Fiorentina 10 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls11 foulsFrosinone 6 fouls, Fiorentina 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Riccardo Sottil · Fiorentina · 2′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Bonaventura · Fiorentina · 39′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Marchizza · Frosinone · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedM'bala Nzola · Fiorentina · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarco Brescianini · Frosinone · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFabiano Parisi · Fiorentina · 42′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlfred Duncan · Fiorentina · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarco Brescianini · Frosinone · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Milenković · Fiorentina · 65′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLuca Mazzitelli · Frosinone · 68′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWalid Cheddira · Frosinone · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Fiorentina · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Bonaventura · Fiorentina · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJaime Báez · Frosinone · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarco Brescianini · Frosinone · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatías Soulé · Frosinone · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Barrenechea · Frosinone · 33′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAlfred Duncan · Fiorentina · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedM'bala Nzola · Fiorentina · 44′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCaleb Okoli · Frosinone · 59′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Bonaventura · Fiorentina · 60′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedM'bala Nzola · Fiorentina · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedM'bala Nzola · Fiorentina · 4′ · 0.13 xG · on targetNicolás González · Fiorentina · 18′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedFabiano Parisi · Fiorentina · 18′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedAntonín Barák · Fiorentina · 85′ · 0.19 xG · on targetRiccardo Sottil · Fiorentina · 16′ · 0.35 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Frosinone: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.32 xG. Fiorentina: 18 shots, 5 on target, 1.39 xG. · 2 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Frosinone 0.32 xG · Fiorentina 1.39 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Frosinone favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Fiorentina in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Frosinone6 matchesFiorentina6 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 2 goals/match
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.67 goals/match
1.27 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/60.97 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots6/610.8 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 4.5 shots/match
49.3%Possession6/6● 57.3%
5.17 corners/match ●Corners6/64 corners/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls6/611.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 28 Sept 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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