Serie A · 2023Fri, 6 Oct 2023, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Empoli

LLLWL
00Full-time recap

Udinese

DDLLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricEmpoliUdinese
Shots18 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals1.27 xG/match0.73 xG/match
Possession59%41%
Corners5 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Hassane Kamara · Udinese · 80′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRăzvan Marin · Empoli · 19′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMatteo Cancellieri · Empoli · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Grassi · Empoli · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Grassi · Empoli · 84′ · 0.02 xG · on targetYoussef Maleh · Empoli · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Pereyra · Udinese · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Udinese · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Udinese · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Udinese · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Success · Udinese · 65′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTommaso Baldanzi · Empoli · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Empoli · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFrancesco Caputo · Empoli · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Udinese · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Luperto · Empoli · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRăzvan Marin · Empoli · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Udinese · 11′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Empoli · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTyronne Ebuehi · Empoli · 44′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Udinese · 13′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedYoussef Maleh · Empoli · 89′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Cancellieri · Empoli · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedFrancesco Caputo · Empoli · 70′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Empoli · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Baldanzi · Empoli · 36′ · 0.14 xG · on targetLazar Samardžić · Udinese · 28′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 31′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedFrancesco Caputo · Empoli · 45′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Empoli: 18 shots, 3 on target, 1.28 xG. Udinese: 11 shots, 1 on target, 0.72 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Empoli 1.28 xG · Udinese 0.72 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Empoli's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Udinese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Empoli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Empoli's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.13 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Udinese show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Udinese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.6 shots/matchShotsEmpoli · Udinese13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEmpoliUdineseBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against16.4 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Empoli, Udinese.

5.25 daysRest daysEmpoli · Udinese5.15 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricEmpoliUdineseBaseline
Rest days5.25 days5.15 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Empoli
1Draws
2Udinese
EmpoliUdinese · Serie A01
UdineseEmpoli · Serie A11
UdineseEmpoli · Serie A41
EmpoliUdinese · Serie A31

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Empoli favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Udinese in 10 · 3 too close

0.13 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/80.5 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/81.5 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/81.14 xG/match
1.63 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/81.44 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/813.8 shots/match
16.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/811.9 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/84 shots/match
5.13 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/83.75 shots/match
46.4%Possessionseason · 8/847.3%
5 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/85.88 corners/match
4.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/84.38 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/813.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/838%
13%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/838%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Empoli27.5
Udinese32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Empoli24.2
Udinese45.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Empoli6.7
Udinese50.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Empoli52.5
Udinese82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Empoli82.5
Udinese92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Empoli62.5
Udinese87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Empoli53.8
Udinese76.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Empoli8 matchesUdinese8 matches
0.13 goals/matchGoals scored8/80.5 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed8/81.5 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.14 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots8/813.8 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target8/84 shots/match
46.4%Possession8/847.3%
5 corners/matchCorners8/85.88 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.9 fouls/matchFouls8/813.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Empoli5 matchesUdinese4 matches
0.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/40.5 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/41.25 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals5/40.74 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots5/412.3 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/42.75 shots/match
47%Possession5/443.8%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/45.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
15 fouls/matchFouls5/413.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.25 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.15 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 6 Oct 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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