PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Udinese 1–1 Atalanta · Serie A

Udinese

DDDDW
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Udinese and Atalanta drew 1–1.

Shots
138
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.520.74
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Udinese and Atalanta drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Udinese – Atalanta): shots 13–8, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.52–0.74, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Udinese's recent record differs from the season

weak

Udinese's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.67 goals/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.33 corners/matchCornersUdinese · Atalanta● 5.92 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricUdineseAtalantaBaseline
Corners5.33 corners/match5.92 corners/match4.71 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Atalanta have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.7%PossessionUdinese · Atalanta● 53.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricUdineseAtalantaBaseline
Possession43.7%53.5%50.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots8 shotsUdinese 13 shots, Atalanta 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsUdinese 4 shots, Atalanta 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.52 xG0.74 xGUdinese 1.52 xG, Atalanta 0.74 xG
  • Possession34%66%Udinese 34%, Atalanta 66%
  • Corners7 corners7 cornersUdinese 7 corners, Atalanta 7 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls13 foulsUdinese 14 fouls, Atalanta 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Éderson · Atalanta · 5′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Udinese · 44′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSandi Lovrić · Udinese · 77′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMartín Payero · Udinese · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWalace · Udinese · 44′ · 0.02 xG · goalAleksey Miranchuk · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMartín Payero · Udinese · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWalace · Udinese · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Udinese · 39′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMitchel Bakker · Atalanta · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Pereyra · Udinese · 77′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedÉderson · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.05 xG · goalMartín Payero · Udinese · 51′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Pereyra · Udinese · 61′ · 0.09 xG · on targetGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 78′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJordan Zemura · Udinese · 48′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 64′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedJaka Bijol · Udinese · 8′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedSead Kolašinac · Atalanta · 18′ · 0.28 xG · on targetIsaac Success · Udinese · 31′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Udinese: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.56 xG. Atalanta: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.73 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Walace · Udinese · 44′Éderson · Atalanta · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Udinese 1.56 xG · Atalanta 0.73 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Udinese
3Draws
1Atalanta
Atalanta — Udinese · Serie A0–0
Udinese — Atalanta · Serie A2–2
Udinese — Atalanta · Serie A2–6
Atalanta — Udinese · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Udinese favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Atalanta in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Udinese12 matchesAtalanta12 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 0.92 goals/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals12/121.24 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots12/1213.4 shots/match
3.92 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 4.83 shots/match
43.7%Possession12/12● 53.5%
5.33 corners/matchCorners12/12● 5.92 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls12/1213.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Nov 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUdineseAtalanta
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headUdinese — Atalanta
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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