PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Roma 1–1 Fiorentina · Serie A

Roma

LWDWW
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Roma and Fiorentina drew 1–1.

Shots
414
Shots on target
18
Expected goals
0.661.46
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Roma and Fiorentina drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Roma – Fiorentina): shots 4–14, shots on target 1–8, expected goals 0.66–1.46, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fiorentina's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fiorentina's last-five shots average is above their season average.

18.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots18.8 shots/match14.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fiorentina have a visible away split

moderate

Fiorentina's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match14.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.13 corners/matchCornersRoma · Fiorentina● 5.2 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricRomaFiorentinaBaseline
Corners5.13 corners/match5.2 corners/match4.67 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots4 shots14 shotsRoma 4 shots, Fiorentina 14 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot8 shotsRoma 1 shot, Fiorentina 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.66 xG1.46 xGRoma 0.66 xG, Fiorentina 1.46 xG
  • Possession34%66%Roma 34%, Fiorentina 66%
  • Corners1 corner6 cornersRoma 1 corner, Fiorentina 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls14 foulsRoma 14 fouls, Fiorentina 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Christian Kouamé · Fiorentina · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Paredes · Roma · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArthur · Fiorentina · 89′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlfred Duncan · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedM'bala Nzola · Fiorentina · 74′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCristiano Biraghi · Fiorentina · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedM'bala Nzola · Fiorentina · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Ikoné · Fiorentina · 50′ · 0.07 xG · on targetLucas Martínez Quarta · Fiorentina · 59′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLucas Martínez Quarta · Fiorentina · 82′ · 0.07 xG · on targetGiacomo Bonaventura · Fiorentina · 45′ · 0.08 xG · on targetGiacomo Bonaventura · Fiorentina · 63′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLucas Martínez Quarta · Fiorentina · 66′ · 0.11 xG · goalNicolás González · Fiorentina · 73′ · 0.11 xG · on targetSardar Azmoun · Roma · 43′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedPaulo Dybala · Roma · 14′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedRomelu Lukaku · Roma · 5′ · 0.28 xG · goalM'bala Nzola · Fiorentina · 17′ · 0.73 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Roma: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.64 xG. Fiorentina: 14 shots, 8 on target, 1.49 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Romelu Lukaku · Roma · 5′Lucas Martínez Quarta · Fiorentina · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Roma 0.64 xG · Fiorentina 1.49 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Roma
0Draws
2Fiorentina
Fiorentina — Roma · Serie A2–1
Roma — Fiorentina · Serie A2–0
Fiorentina — Roma · Serie A2–0
Roma — Fiorentina · Serie A3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Roma favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Fiorentina in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Roma15 matchesFiorentina15 matches
1.87 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/151.6 goals/match
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/151.2 goals/match
1.42 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/151.25 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots15/15▲ 14.2 shots/match
4.07 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 4.87 shots/match
54.2%Possession15/15● 57.7%
5.13 corners/matchCorners15/15● 5.2 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls15/1512.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Dec 2023, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRomaFiorentina
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headRoma — Fiorentina
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required