Serie A · 2023

Empoli 0–3 Milan · Serie A

Empoli

DDLLD
0–3Historical match

Milan

WLWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Milan won 0–3.

Shots
1713
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
0.91.69
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Milan beat Empoli 3–0. Recorded in this match (Empoli – Milan): shots 17–13, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 0.9–1.69, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Empoli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Empoli's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.53 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.53 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Milan show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Milan's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsEmpoli · Milan13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEmpoliMilanBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against16.1 shots/match14.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Empoli have a visible home split

moderate

Empoli's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots13 shotsEmpoli 17 shots, Milan 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsEmpoli 2 shots, Milan 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.9 xG1.69 xGEmpoli 0.9 xG, Milan 1.69 xG
  • Possession35%65%Empoli 35%, Milan 65%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersEmpoli 6 corners, Milan 6 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls13 foulsEmpoli 9 fouls, Milan 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Rafael Leão · Milan · 2′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Baldanzi · Empoli · 13′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRuben Loftus-Cheek · Milan · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Empoli · 88′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Reijnders · Milan · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYoussef Maleh · Empoli · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTheo Hernández · Milan · 22′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNicolò Cambiaghi · Empoli · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Empoli · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRuben Loftus-Cheek · Milan · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRafael Leão · Milan · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Cancellieri · Empoli · 71′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTheo Hernández · Milan · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Cancellieri · Empoli · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Empoli · 33′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFilippo Ranocchia · Empoli · 42′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Empoli · 67′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRafael Leão · Milan · 74′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Baldanzi · Empoli · 51′ · 0.06 xG · on targetNicolò Cambiaghi · Empoli · 79′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYoussef Maleh · Empoli · 88′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Cancellieri · Empoli · 67′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Grassi · Empoli · 69′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Empoli · 13′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedChaka Traorè · Milan · 88′ · 0.08 xG · goalTheo Hernández · Milan · 57′ · 0.12 xG · on targetFrancesco Caputo · Empoli · 71′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedChristian Pulišić · Milan · 62′ · 0.22 xG · on targetRuben Loftus-Cheek · Milan · 11′ · 0.26 xG · goalOlivier Giroud · Milan · 31′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Empoli: 17 shots, 2 on target, 0.90 xG. Milan: 13 shots, 6 on target, 1.72 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Ruben Loftus-Cheek · Milan · 11′Olivier Giroud · Milan · 31′Chaka Traorè · Milan · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Empoli 0.90 xG · Milan 1.72 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Empoli
1Draws
3Milan
Milan — Empoli · Serie A0–0
Empoli — Milan · Serie A1–3
Milan — Empoli · Serie A1–0
Empoli — Milan · Serie A2–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Empoli favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Milan in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Empoli19 matchesMilan19 matches
0.53 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 1.84 goals/match
1.74 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 1.05 goals/match
0.93 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲ 1.53 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots19/19▲ 13.2 shots/match
3.32 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲ 5 shots/match
44.9%Possession19/19● 56.1%
4.84 corners/match ●Corners19/194.53 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Jan 2024, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required