PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Salernitana 0–2 Fiorentina · Serie A

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fiorentina won 0–2.

Shots
512
Shots on target
17
Expected goals
0.212.05
Possession
27%73%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fiorentina beat Salernitana 2–0. Recorded in this match (Salernitana – Fiorentina): shots 5–12, shots on target 1–7, expected goals 0.21–2.05, possession 27%–73%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Salernitana's recent record differs from the season

weak

Salernitana's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.79 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.79 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Salernitana show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Salernitana's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsSalernitana · Fiorentina13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSalernitanaFiorentinaBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against15.3 shots/match9.91 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Salernitana have a visible home split

moderate

Salernitana's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match10.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots12 shotsSalernitana 5 shots, Fiorentina 12 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot7 shotsSalernitana 1 shot, Fiorentina 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.21 xG2.05 xGSalernitana 0.21 xG, Fiorentina 2.05 xG
  • Possession27%73%Salernitana 27%, Fiorentina 73%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersSalernitana 2 corners, Fiorentina 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsSalernitana 13 fouls, Fiorentina 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Riccardo Sottil · Fiorentina · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLoum Tchaouna · Salernitana · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedToma Bašić · Salernitana · 38′ · 0.03 xG · on targetChukwubuikem Ikwuemesi · Salernitana · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJunior Sambia · Salernitana · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Ikoné · Fiorentina · 39′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlfred Duncan · Fiorentina · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Ikoné · Fiorentina · 11′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAntonio Candreva · Salernitana · 58′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Sottil · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedChristian Kouamé · Fiorentina · 80′ · 0.10 xG · goalLuca Ranieri · Fiorentina · 42′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.17 xG · on targetChristian Kouamé · Fiorentina · 76′ · 0.29 xG · on targetJonathan Ikoné · Fiorentina · 42′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Sottil · Fiorentina · 46′ · 0.32 xG · on targetJonathan Ikoné · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.61 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Salernitana: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.20 xG. Fiorentina: 12 shots, 7 on target, 2.16 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Christian Kouamé · Fiorentina · 80′Jonathan Ikoné · Fiorentina · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Salernitana 0.20 xG · Fiorentina 2.16 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Salernitana
1Draws
3Fiorentina
Fiorentina — Salernitana · Serie A3–0
Salernitana — Fiorentina · Serie A3–3
Fiorentina — Salernitana · Serie A2–1
Salernitana — Fiorentina · Serie A2–1
Fiorentina — Salernitana · Serie A4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Salernitana favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Fiorentina in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Salernitana33 matchesFiorentina32 matches
0.79 goals/matchGoals scored33/32▲ 1.41 goals/match
2.12 goals/matchGoals allowed33/32▲ 1.13 goals/match
0.78 xG/matchExpected goals33/32▲ 1.32 xG/match
10.2 shots/matchShots33/32▲ 13.7 shots/match
3.18 shots/matchShots on target33/32▲ 4.53 shots/match
44.7%Possession33/32● 57.6%
4.03 corners/matchCorners33/32● 5.22 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls33/3212.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Apr 2024, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSalernitanaFiorentina
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headSalernitana — Fiorentina
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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