PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Atalanta 2–0 Empoli · Serie A

2–0Historical match

Empoli

LLWLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atalanta won 2–0.

Shots
1711
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.890.42
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atalanta beat Empoli 2–0. Recorded in this match (Atalanta – Empoli): shots 17–11, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.89–0.42, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Empoli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Empoli's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.8 shots/match11 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atalanta have a visible home split

moderate

Atalanta's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.7 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atalanta show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atalanta's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAtalanta · Empoli11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaEmpoliBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match11 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against12.3 shots/match15.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots11 shotsAtalanta 17 shots, Empoli 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsAtalanta 5 shots, Empoli 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.89 xG0.42 xGAtalanta 1.89 xG, Empoli 0.42 xG
  • Possession59%41%Atalanta 59%, Empoli 41%
  • Corners8 corners1 cornerAtalanta 8 corners, Empoli 1 corner
  • Fouls19 fouls14 foulsAtalanta 19 fouls, Empoli 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Giuseppe Pezzella · Empoli · 56′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedHans Hateboer · Atalanta · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBerat Djimsiti · Atalanta · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Grassi · Empoli · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAleksey Miranchuk · Atalanta · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Empoli · 69′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNicolò Cambiaghi · Empoli · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Grassi · Empoli · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJacopo Fazzini · Empoli · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedM'Baye Niang · Empoli · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAleksey Miranchuk · Atalanta · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEl Bilal Touré · Atalanta · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRăzvan Marin · Empoli · 80′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEl Bilal Touré · Atalanta · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarten de Roon · Atalanta · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIsak Hien · Atalanta · 60′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 7′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedViktor Kovalenko · Empoli · 69′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedM'Baye Niang · Empoli · 3′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 51′ · 0.07 xG · goalMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 85′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLiberato Cacace · Empoli · 33′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGiorgio Scalvini · Atalanta · 60′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAleksey Miranchuk · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.17 xG · on targetAleksey Miranchuk · Atalanta · 63′ · 0.27 xG · on targetMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 42′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atalanta: 17 shots, 5 on target, 1.93 xG. Empoli: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.42 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Mario Pašalić · Atalanta · 42′Ademola Lookman · Atalanta · 51′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atalanta 1.93 xG · Empoli 0.42 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Atalanta
0Draws
1Empoli
Empoli — Atalanta · Serie A0–3
Atalanta — Empoli · Serie A2–1
Empoli — Atalanta · Serie A0–2
Atalanta — Empoli · Serie A0–1
Empoli — Atalanta · Serie A1–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atalanta favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Empoli in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atalanta33 matchesEmpoli34 matches
1.85 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/340.76 goals/match
1.12 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/341.47 goals/match
1.46 xG/match ▲Expected goals33/340.93 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots33/3411 shots/match
5.36 shots/match ▲Shots on target33/343.12 shots/match
50.7% ●Possession33/3443.8%
5.64 corners/match ●Corners33/344.62 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls33/3413.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Apr 2024, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtalantaEmpoli
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headAtalanta — Empoli
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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