Serie A · 2023

Salernitana 1–2 Atalanta · Serie A

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atalanta won 1–2.

Shots
917
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
0.51.86
Possession
31%69%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atalanta beat Salernitana 2–1. Recorded in this match (Salernitana – Atalanta): shots 9–17, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 0.5–1.86, possession 31%–69%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atalanta have a visible away split

moderate

Atalanta's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match13.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Salernitana's recent record differs from the season

weak

Salernitana's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.8 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atalanta show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atalanta's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsSalernitana · Atalanta13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSalernitanaAtalantaBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match13.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against15.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots17 shotsSalernitana 9 shots, Atalanta 17 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsSalernitana 2 shots, Atalanta 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.5 xG1.86 xGSalernitana 0.5 xG, Atalanta 1.86 xG
  • Possession31%69%Salernitana 31%, Atalanta 69%
  • Corners1 corner7 cornersSalernitana 1 corner, Atalanta 7 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsSalernitana 12 fouls, Atalanta 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Teun Koopmeiners · Atalanta · 63′ · 0.01 xG · goalLoum Tchaouna · Salernitana · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pirola · Salernitana · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLoum Tchaouna · Salernitana · 47′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLoum Tchaouna · Salernitana · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGiorgio Scalvini · Atalanta · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedToma Bašić · Salernitana · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Ruggeri · Atalanta · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJunior Sambia · Salernitana · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLoum Tchaouna · Salernitana · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHans Hateboer · Atalanta · 71′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 75′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMatteo Ruggeri · Atalanta · 86′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 68′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 29′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAleksey Miranchuk · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.07 xG · on targetGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 15′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAleksey Miranchuk · Atalanta · 7′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedTeun Koopmeiners · Atalanta · 63′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 49′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedShon Weissman · Salernitana · 70′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedLoum Tchaouna · Salernitana · 18′ · 0.18 xG · goalAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 23′ · 0.39 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 57′ · 0.47 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Salernitana: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.52 xG. Atalanta: 17 shots, 4 on target, 1.87 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Loum Tchaouna · Salernitana · 18′Gianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 57′Teun Koopmeiners · Atalanta · 63′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Salernitana 0.52 xG · Atalanta 1.87 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Salernitana
1Draws
3Atalanta
Atalanta — Salernitana · Serie A4–1
Salernitana — Atalanta · Serie A1–0
Atalanta — Salernitana · Serie A8–2
Atalanta — Salernitana · Serie A1–1
Salernitana — Atalanta · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Salernitana favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Atalanta in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Salernitana35 matchesAtalanta34 matches
0.77 goals/matchGoals scored35/34▲ 1.85 goals/match
2.14 goals/matchGoals allowed35/34▲ 1.12 goals/match
0.79 xG/matchExpected goals35/34▲ 1.47 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots35/34▲ 13.9 shots/match
3.11 shots/matchShots on target35/34▲ 5.32 shots/match
44.6%Possession35/34● 51.2%
3.91 corners/matchCorners35/34● 5.68 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls35/3412.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 6 May 2024, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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