Serie A · 2024

Bologna 1–1 Atalanta · Serie A

Bologna

DLDDW
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna and Atalanta drew 1–1.

Shots
523
Shots on target
15
Expected goals
0.12
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna and Atalanta drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Bologna – Atalanta): shots 5–23, shots on target 1–5, expected goals 0.1–2, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

15.5 fouls/matchFoulsBologna · Atalanta15.5 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBolognaAtalantaBaseline
Fouls15.5 fouls/match15.5 fouls/match11.9 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Atalanta.

6.24 days ▲Rest daysBologna · Atalanta4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBolognaAtalantaBaseline
Rest days6.24 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Atalanta's recent record differs from the season

weak

Atalanta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.83 goals/match1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots23 shotsBologna 5 shots, Atalanta 23 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot5 shotsBologna 1 shot, Atalanta 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.1 xG2 xGBologna 0.1 xG, Atalanta 2 xG
  • Possession36%64%Bologna 36%, Atalanta 64%
  • Corners2 corners9 cornersBologna 2 corners, Atalanta 9 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls12 foulsBologna 16 fouls, Atalanta 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Dan Ndoye · Bologna · 22′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 46′ · 0.02 xG · goalAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Atalanta · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJuan Cuadrado · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOdilon Kossounou · Atalanta · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÉderson · Atalanta · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 53′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 88′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.06 xG · goalCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 11′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 86′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 75′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 89′ · 0.16 xG · on targetLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedRaoul Bellanova · Atalanta · 53′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedMarco Brescianini · Atalanta · 38′ · 0.21 xG · on targetAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 18′ · 0.45 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bologna: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.09 xG. Atalanta: 23 shots, 5 on target, 2.01 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Santiago Castro · Bologna · 46′Lazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bologna 0.09 xG · Atalanta 2.01 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Bologna
0Draws
2Atalanta
Atalanta — Bologna · Serie A1–2
Bologna — Atalanta · Serie A1–0
Atalanta — Bologna · Serie A0–2
Bologna — Atalanta · Serie A1–2
Bologna — Atalanta · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bologna favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Atalanta in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bologna6 matchesAtalanta6 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.83 goals/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/62 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.91 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 15.2 shots/match
4.17 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 5.5 shots/match
58.8% ●Possession6/655%
4.5 corners/matchCorners6/6● 5.5 corners/match
15.5 fouls/matchFouls6/615.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Sept 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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