Serie A · 2024

Fiorentina 5–1 Roma · Serie A

5–1Historical match

Roma

DWWDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fiorentina won 5–1.

Shots
2114
Shots on target
105
Expected goals
3.730.65
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fiorentina beat Roma 5–1. Recorded in this match (Fiorentina – Roma): shots 21–14, shots on target 10–5, expected goals 3.73–0.65, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Roma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Roma's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Roma have a visible away split

moderate

Roma's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season16.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match16.2 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots14 shotsFiorentina 21 shots, Roma 14 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots5 shotsFiorentina 10 shots, Roma 5 shots
  • Expected goals3.73 xG0.65 xGFiorentina 3.73 xG, Roma 0.65 xG
  • Possession39%61%Fiorentina 39%, Roma 61%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersFiorentina 6 corners, Roma 2 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsFiorentina 13 fouls, Roma 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Fiorentina
2Draws
1Roma
Fiorentina — Roma · Serie A2–2
Roma — Fiorentina · Serie A1–1
Fiorentina — Roma · Serie A2–1
Roma — Fiorentina · Serie A2–0
Fiorentina — Roma · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fiorentina favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Roma in 0 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fiorentina9 matchesRoma9 matches
2.22 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/91 goal/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed9/91.22 goals/match
1.84 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/91.33 xG/match
15.4 shots/matchShots9/916.2 shots/match
6.11 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/94.67 shots/match
53.6%Possession9/9● 60.4%
4.56 corners/match ●Corners9/94 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls9/911.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Oct 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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