PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Venezia 0–1 Bologna · Serie A

Venezia

LDDDD
0–1Historical match

Bologna

LWWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna won 0–1.

Shots
613
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.721.01
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna beat Venezia 1–0. Recorded in this match (Venezia – Bologna): shots 6–13, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.72–1.01, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Venezia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Venezia's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.77 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.77 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Venezia show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Venezia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.97 shots/match ▲ShotsVenezia · Bologna13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVeneziaBolognaBaseline
Shots9.97 shots/match13.7 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against14.7 shots/match8.73 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Bologna have a visible away split

moderate

Bologna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots13 shotsVenezia 6 shots, Bologna 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsVenezia 3 shots, Bologna 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.72 xG1.01 xGVenezia 0.72 xG, Bologna 1.01 xG
  • Possession40%60%Venezia 40%, Bologna 60%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersVenezia 2 corners, Bologna 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls21 foulsVenezia 14 fouls, Bologna 21 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Estanis Pedrola · Bologna · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJay Idzes · Venezia · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJens Odgaard · Bologna · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKike Pérez · Venezia · 63′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Busio · Venezia · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 79′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 34′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEstanis Pedrola · Bologna · 86′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 49′ · 0.07 xG · goalThijs Dallinga · Bologna · 14′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAlessio Zerbin · Venezia · 31′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJens Odgaard · Bologna · 65′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 86′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJohn Yeboah · Venezia · 73′ · 0.25 xG · on targetAlessio Zerbin · Venezia · 31′ · 0.33 xG · on targetSam Beukema · Bologna · 41′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Venezia: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.76 xG. Bologna: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.02 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Riccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 49′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Venezia 0.76 xG · Bologna 1.02 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Venezia
0Draws
1Bologna
Bologna — Venezia · Serie A3–0
Venezia — Bologna · Serie A4–3
Bologna — Venezia · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Venezia favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Bologna in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Venezia30 matchesBologna30 matches
0.77 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲ 1.13 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals30/30▲ 1.39 xG/match
9.97 shots/matchShots30/30▲ 13.7 shots/match
3.3 shots/matchShots on target30/30▲ 4.9 shots/match
44.2%Possession30/30● 58.6%
3.63 corners/matchCorners30/30● 4.47 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls30/3014.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Mar 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVeneziaBologna
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headVenezia — Bologna
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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