PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Venezia 2–1 Fiorentina · Serie A

Venezia

DWDLD
2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Venezia won 2–1.

Shots
916
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.870.94
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Venezia beat Fiorentina 2–1. Recorded in this match (Venezia – Fiorentina): shots 9–16, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.87–0.94, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Venezia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Venezia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots16 shotsVenezia 9 shots, Fiorentina 16 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsVenezia 4 shots, Fiorentina 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.87 xG0.94 xGVenezia 1.87 xG, Fiorentina 0.94 xG
  • Possession34%66%Venezia 34%, Fiorentina 66%
  • Corners1 corner5 cornersVenezia 1 corner, Fiorentina 5 corners
  • Fouls21 fouls17 foulsVenezia 21 fouls, Fiorentina 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Luca Ranieri · Fiorentina · 54′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMikael Ellertsson · Venezia · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMikael Ellertsson · Venezia · 10′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMichael Folorunsho · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarin Pongračić · Fiorentina · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCher Ndour · Fiorentina · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHans Nicolussi Caviglia · Venezia · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCher Ndour · Fiorentina · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPablo Marí · Fiorentina · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 25′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 77′ · 0.07 xG · goalRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 86′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGaetano Oristanio · Venezia · 6′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJohn Yeboah · Venezia · 72′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Fagioli · Fiorentina · 27′ · 0.11 xG · on targetLucas Beltrán · Fiorentina · 74′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLuca Ranieri · Fiorentina · 68′ · 0.13 xG · on targetMichael Folorunsho · Fiorentina · 80′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedMichael Folorunsho · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedGaetano Oristanio · Venezia · 68′ · 0.29 xG · goalJohn Yeboah · Venezia · 45′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedGaetano Oristanio · Venezia · 59′ · 0.39 xG · off target or blockedFali Candé · Venezia · 60′ · 0.69 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Venezia: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.99 xG. Fiorentina: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Fali Candé · Venezia · 60′Gaetano Oristanio · Venezia · 68′Rolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 77′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Venezia 1.99 xG · Fiorentina 1.13 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Venezia
1Draws
1Fiorentina
Fiorentina — Venezia · Serie A0–0
Fiorentina — Venezia · Serie A1–0
Venezia — Fiorentina · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Venezia favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Fiorentina in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Venezia36 matchesFiorentina36 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored36/36▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.39 goals/matchGoals allowed36/36▲ 1.03 goals/match
1 xG/matchExpected goals36/36▲ 1.24 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShots36/36▲ 11.6 shots/match
3.39 shots/matchShots on target36/36▲ 4.42 shots/match
44.6%Possession36/36● 50.4%
3.58 corners/matchCorners36/36● 3.83 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls36/3611.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 12 May 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVeneziaFiorentina
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headVenezia — Fiorentina
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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