Premier League · 2023Sat, 12 Aug 2023, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBrighton & Hove AlbionLuton Town
Shots27 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target12 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals4.01 xG/match1.48 xG/match
Possession71%29%
Corners6 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Danny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 8′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSolly March · Brighton & Hove Albion · 18′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarvelous Nakamba · Luton Town · 34′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPervis Estupiñán · Brighton & Hove Albion · 40′ · 0.01 xG · on targetPascal Groß · Brighton & Hove Albion · 52′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBilly Gilmour · Brighton & Hove Albion · 84′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLewis Dunk · Brighton & Hove Albion · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMahmoud Dahoud · Brighton & Hove Albion · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIssa Kaboré · Luton Town · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMahmoud Dahoud · Brighton & Hove Albion · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJan Paul van Hecke · Brighton & Hove Albion · 47′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPelly Ruddock Mpanzu · Luton Town · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPervis Estupiñán · Brighton & Hove Albion · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 20′ · 0.04 xG · on targetCarlton Morris · Luton Town · 37′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEvan Ferguson · Brighton & Hove Albion · 86′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 48′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSolly March · Brighton & Hove Albion · 63′ · 0.06 xG · on targetPervis Estupiñán · Brighton & Hove Albion · 85′ · 0.06 xG · on targetCarlton Morris · Luton Town · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLewis Dunk · Brighton & Hove Albion · 3′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 42′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJacob Brown · Luton Town · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetPascal Groß · Brighton & Hove Albion · 14′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedCarlton Morris · Luton Town · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 87′ · 0.16 xG · on targetDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 39′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedPelly Ruddock Mpanzu · Luton Town · 23′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedSimon Adingra · Brighton & Hove Albion · 85′ · 0.24 xG · goalSolly March · Brighton & Hove Albion · 36′ · 0.34 xG · goalJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 5′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedPascal Groß · Brighton & Hove Albion · 89′ · 0.36 xG · on targetEvan Ferguson · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.79 xG · goalJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 71′ · 0.82 xG · goalCarlton Morris · Luton Town · 81′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Brighton & Hove Albion: 27 shots, 12 on target, 4.04 xG. Luton Town: 9 shots, 3 on target, 1.49 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.254.50′HT90′Solly March · Brighton & Hove Albion · 36′João Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 71′Simon Adingra · Brighton & Hove Albion · 85′Evan Ferguson · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′Carlton Morris · Luton Town · 81′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brighton & Hove Albion 4.04 xG · Luton Town 1.49 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · Unavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Aug 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4