UEFA Europa League · 2026Full timeFull-time analysis
33Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricPafosRed Bull Salzburg
Shots on target9 shots 6 shots
Possession52% 48%
Corners4 corners 2 corners
Fouls12 fouls16 fouls

Full time

What the match recorded

Pafos and Red Bull Salzburg drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (Pafos – Red Bull Salzburg): shots on target 9–6, possession 52%–48%, corners 4–2, fouls 12–16. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Pafos1 matches
  • Red Bull Salzburg1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

These two clubs played in different competitions last season, so the values are shown side by side without ranking them against each other.

Pafos

Competition
UEFA Champions League
Season
2025/26
Sample
14 matches
Profile grade
B
Data cutoff
30 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.14 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1 goal/match
  • Expected goals0.91 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed2.11 xG/match
  • Shots10.1 shots/match
  • Shots allowed19.4 shots/match
  • Shots on target3.6 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed5.5 shots/match
  • Possession39%
  • Corners3.4 corners/match
  • Corners allowed7.3 corners/match
  • Fouls12.4 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency43%
  • Scoring frequency71%

Red Bull Salzburg

Competition
UEFA Europa League
Season
2025/26
Sample
8 matches
Profile grade
B
Data cutoff
20 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.25 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.88 goals/match
  • Shots13.5 shots/match
  • Shots allowed16.8 shots/match
  • Shots on target5.38 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed6.13 shots/match
  • Possession45%
  • Corners3.13 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.75 corners/match
  • Cards1.38 cards/match
  • Fouls11.4 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency13%
  • Scoring frequency63%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 13 Aug 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4