Saudi Pro League · 2026

Al-Nassr 3–0 Al-Fateh · Saudi Pro League

3–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Al-Nassr won 3–0.

Shots
189
Shots on target
93
Expected goals
1.631.06
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Nassr beat Al-Fateh 3–0. Recorded in this match (Al-Nassr – Al-Fateh): shots 18–9, shots on target 9–3, expected goals 1.63–1.06, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots9 shotsAl-Nassr 18 shots, Al-Fateh 9 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots3 shotsAl-Nassr 9 shots, Al-Fateh 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.63 xG1.06 xGAl-Nassr 1.63 xG, Al-Fateh 1.06 xG
  • Possession59%41%Al-Nassr 59%, Al-Fateh 41%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersAl-Nassr 6 corners, Al-Fateh 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsAl-Nassr 11 fouls, Al-Fateh 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardAl-Nassr 1 card, Al-Fateh 1 card
  • Passes449 passes308 passesAl-Nassr 449 passes, Al-Fateh 308 passes
  • Pass accuracy86.6%78.9%Al-Nassr 86.6%, Al-Fateh 78.9%
  • Shots inside box14 shots5 shotsAl-Nassr 14 shots, Al-Fateh 5 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks1 blockAl-Nassr 2 blocks, Al-Fateh 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves6 savesAl-Nassr 3 saves, Al-Fateh 6 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides4 offsidesAl-Nassr 3 offsides, Al-Fateh 4 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Zaydou Youssouf · Al-Fateh · 84′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAyman Yahya · Al-Nassr · 86′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAyman Yahya · Al-Nassr · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoão Félix · Al-Nassr · 13′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMourad Batna · Al-Fateh · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJefferson Ramos · Al-Fateh · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMihai Lixandru · Al-Fateh · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLukáš Haraslín · Al-Fateh · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoão Félix · Al-Nassr · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMourad Batna · Al-Fateh · 25′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLukáš Haraslín · Al-Fateh · 42′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSadio Mané · Al-Nassr · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSadio Mané · Al-Nassr · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedÂngelo · Al-Nassr · 49′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSamú Costa · Al-Nassr · 70′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoão Félix · Al-Nassr · 15′ · 0.06 xG · on targetÂngelo · Al-Nassr · 37′ · 0.06 xG · goalJoão Félix · Al-Nassr · 40′ · 0.06 xG · goalKingsley Coman · Al-Nassr · 58′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSadio Mané · Al-Nassr · 63′ · 0.07 xG · on targetNawaf Boushal · Al-Nassr · 87′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJoão Félix · Al-Nassr · 61′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJoão Félix · Al-Nassr · 63′ · 0.09 xG · on targetSamú Costa · Al-Nassr · 73′ · 0.15 xG · goalJefferson Ramos · Al-Fateh · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedÂngelo · Al-Nassr · 15′ · 0.44 xG · on targetFaisal Al Abdulwahed · Al-Fateh · 45′ · 0.46 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Al-Nassr: 18 shots, 9 on target, 1.40 xG. Al-Fateh: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.78 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Ângelo · Al-Nassr · 37′João Félix · Al-Nassr · 40′Samú Costa · Al-Nassr · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Al-Nassr 1.40 xG · Al-Fateh 0.78 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Al-Nassr
0Draws
1Al-Fateh
Al-Fateh — Al-Nassr · Saudi Pro League0–2
Al-Nassr — Al-Fateh · Saudi Pro League5–1
Al-Fateh — Al-Nassr · Saudi Pro League3–2
Al-Nassr — Al-Fateh · Saudi Pro League3–1
Al-Nassr — Al-Fateh · Saudi Pro League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Al-Nassr1 matches
  • Al-Fateh1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

Al-Nassr

Competition
Saudi Pro League
Season
2025/26
Sample
34 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
21 May 2026
  • Goals scored2.68 goals/match
  • Goals allowed0.82 goals/match
  • Expected goals2.27 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed0.85 xG/match
  • Shots17.9 shots/match
  • Shots allowed6.76 shots/match
  • Shots on target7 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed2.53 shots/match
  • Possession58.3%
  • Corners6.97 corners/match
  • Corners allowed3.06 corners/match
  • Cards1.92 cards/match
  • Fouls12.4 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency50%
  • Scoring frequency100%

Al-Fateh

Competition
Saudi Pro League
Season
2025/26
Sample
34 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
21 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.21 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.62 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.49 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.65 xG/match
  • Shots12.4 shots/match
  • Shots allowed13.8 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.71 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed5.21 shots/match
  • Possession46.4%
  • Corners5.06 corners/match
  • Corners allowed5.65 corners/match
  • Cards2.54 cards/match
  • Fouls13.1 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency21%
  • Scoring frequency76%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Aug 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4