Belgian Pro League · 2026Full timeFull-time analysis
33Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCercle BruggeSint-Truidense VV
Shots27 shots 13 shots
Shots on target9 shots 7 shots
Expected goals4.16 xG 2.04 xG
Possession55% 45%
Corners10 corners 3 corners
Fouls7 fouls9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Ibrahim Diakité · Cercle Brugge · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKrys Kouassi · Cercle Brugge · 90′ · 0.01 xG · goalLukas Mondele · Cercle Brugge · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedViggo Martens · Cercle Brugge · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRyan Merlen · Sint-Truidense VV · 79′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLukas Mondele · Cercle Brugge · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLukas Mondele · Cercle Brugge · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · Sint-Truidense VV · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOumar Diouf · Sint-Truidense VV · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSteve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 8′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRyan Merlen · Sint-Truidense VV · 11′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDante Vanzeir · Cercle Brugge · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSteve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Kakou · Cercle Brugge · 55′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLazare Amani · Cercle Brugge · 83′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLukas Mondele · Cercle Brugge · 54′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMakaya Ibrahima Diaby · Cercle Brugge · 55′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLukas Mondele · Cercle Brugge · 55′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRobert-Jan Vanwesemael · Sint-Truidense VV · 36′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLukas Mondele · Cercle Brugge · 42′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNelson Ishiwatari · Sint-Truidense VV · 47′ · 0.08 xG · goalNelson Ishiwatari · Sint-Truidense VV · 61′ · 0.08 xG · on targetLucas Michal · Cercle Brugge · 82′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRyan Merlen · Sint-Truidense VV · 14′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedViggo Martens · Cercle Brugge · 60′ · 0.09 xG · on targetSteve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 69′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMakaya Ibrahima Diaby · Cercle Brugge · 7′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAbdoulaye Sissako · Sint-Truidense VV · 61′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedSteve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 46′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedChristiaan Ravych · Cercle Brugge · 88′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedDante Vanzeir · Cercle Brugge · 30′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedGary Magnee · Cercle Brugge · 13′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedRyan Merlen · Sint-Truidense VV · 1′ · 0.23 xG · goalRyan Merlen · Sint-Truidense VV · 60′ · 0.26 xG · on targetMakaya Ibrahima Diaby · Cercle Brugge · 60′ · 0.28 xG · on targetRyan Merlen · Sint-Truidense VV · 37′ · 0.35 xG · goalViggo Martens · Cercle Brugge · 24′ · 0.43 xG · on targetIlias Sebaoui · Sint-Truidense VV · 69′ · 0.53 xG · off target or blockedErick Nunes · Cercle Brugge · 82′ · 0.86 xG · goalSteve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 28′ · 0.92 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cercle Brugge: 27 shots, 9 on target, 4.26 xG. Sint-Truidense VV: 13 shots, 7 on target, 2.00 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.254.50′HT90′Steve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 28′Erick Nunes · Cercle Brugge · 82′Krys Kouassi · Cercle Brugge · 90′Ryan Merlen · Sint-Truidense VV · 1′Ryan Merlen · Sint-Truidense VV · 37′Nelson Ishiwatari · Sint-Truidense VV · 47′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cercle Brugge 4.26 xG · Sint-Truidense VV 2.00 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Cercle Brugge and Sint-Truidense VV drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (Cercle Brugge – Sint-Truidense VV): shots 27–13, shots on target 9–7, expected goals 4.16–2.04, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

Last 5 meetings

1Cercle Brugge
2Draws
2Sint-Truidense VV
Sint-Truidense VVCercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League21
Cercle BruggeSint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League11
Cercle BruggeSint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League31
Sint-Truidense VVCercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League31
Sint-Truidense VVCercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League11

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Cercle Brugge1 matches
  • Sint-Truidense VV1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

Cercle Brugge

Competition
Belgian Pro League
Season
2025/26
Sample
40 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
31 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.48 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.5 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.59 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.44 xG/match
  • Shots14.3 shots/match
  • Shots allowed13.3 shots/match
  • Shots on target5.13 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.88 shots/match
  • Possession47.5%
  • Corners5.2 corners/match
  • Corners allowed5.53 corners/match
  • Cards2.18 cards/match
  • Fouls10.6 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency25%
  • Scoring frequency78%

Sint-Truidense VV

Competition
Belgian Pro League
Season
2025/26
Sample
42 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
31 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.6 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.12 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.6 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.2 xG/match
  • Shots13.7 shots/match
  • Shots allowed12.6 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.31 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.05 shots/match
  • Possession55%
  • Corners5.6 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.57 corners/match
  • Cards1.77 cards/match
  • Fouls10.6 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency26%
  • Scoring frequency79%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 14 Aug 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4