Belgian Pro League · 2026Full timeFull-time analysis
01Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLommel SKRC Sporting Charleroi
Shots8 shots23 shots
Shots on target0 shots5 shots
Expected goals0.34 xG1.25 xG
Possession44%56%
Corners2 corners12 corners
Fouls8 fouls7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Adama Bojang · RC Sporting Charleroi · 3′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMardochee Nzita · RC Sporting Charleroi · 19′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedStredair Appuah · Lommel SK · 34′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYassine Khalifi · RC Sporting Charleroi · 67′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYassine Khalifi · RC Sporting Charleroi · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdama Bojang · RC Sporting Charleroi · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Schoofs · Lommel SK · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAmine Boukamir · RC Sporting Charleroi · 63′ · 0.02 xG · goalDries Wouters · Lommel SK · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJakob Napoleon Romsaas · RC Sporting Charleroi · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Pflücke · RC Sporting Charleroi · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Schoofs · Lommel SK · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Bernier · RC Sporting Charleroi · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJakob Napoleon Romsaas · RC Sporting Charleroi · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoey Pelupessy · Lommel SK · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Ismaël Cissé · RC Sporting Charleroi · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Pflücke · RC Sporting Charleroi · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Pflücke · RC Sporting Charleroi · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJakob Napoleon Romsaas · RC Sporting Charleroi · 48′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFreddy Mbemba · RC Sporting Charleroi · 87′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Pflücke · RC Sporting Charleroi · 60′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAntoine Colassin · RC Sporting Charleroi · 81′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMohamed Salah El Boukammiri · Lommel SK · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Pflücke · RC Sporting Charleroi · 32′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMardochee Nzita · RC Sporting Charleroi · 54′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah El Boukammiri · Lommel SK · 89′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Bernier · RC Sporting Charleroi · 53′ · 0.08 xG · on targetPatrick Pflücke · RC Sporting Charleroi · 4′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRalf Seuntjens · Lommel SK · 52′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Pflücke · RC Sporting Charleroi · 12′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJakob Napoleon Romsaas · RC Sporting Charleroi · 42′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lommel SK: 8 shots, 0 on target, 0.34 xG. RC Sporting Charleroi: 23 shots, 5 on target, 1.25 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Amine Boukamir · RC Sporting Charleroi · 63′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lommel SK 0.34 xG · RC Sporting Charleroi 1.25 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

RC Sporting Charleroi beat Lommel SK 1–0. Recorded in this match (Lommel SK – RC Sporting Charleroi): shots 8–23, shots on target 0–5, expected goals 0.34–1.25, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Lommel SK1 matches
  • RC Sporting Charleroi1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

Lommel SK

Competition
Belgian Pro League
Season
2025/26
Sample
12 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
31 May 2026
  • Goals scored2.33 goals/match
  • Goals allowed0.83 goals/match
  • Shots9.83 shots/match
  • Shots allowed15.8 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.5 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.33 shots/match
  • Possession45.3%
  • Corners3.5 corners/match
  • Corners allowed7.5 corners/match
  • Fouls9.67 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency33%
  • Scoring frequency83%

RC Sporting Charleroi

Competition
Belgian Pro League
Season
2025/26
Sample
42 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
31 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.31 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.26 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.3 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.27 xG/match
  • Shots13.2 shots/match
  • Shots allowed12 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.38 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed3.79 shots/match
  • Possession49.9%
  • Corners5.88 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.93 corners/match
  • Cards2.33 cards/match
  • Fouls11.3 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency26%
  • Scoring frequency79%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4