PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2026

Kairat Almaty 0–1 Levski Sofia · UEFA Champions League

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Levski Sofia won 0–1.

Shots
219
Shots on target
72
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Levski Sofia beat Kairat Almaty 1–0. Recorded in this match (Kairat Almaty – Levski Sofia): shots 21–9, shots on target 7–2, possession 56%–44%, corners 9–4. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots9 shotsKairat Almaty 21 shots, Levski Sofia 9 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsKairat Almaty 7 shots, Levski Sofia 2 shots
  • Possession56%44%Kairat Almaty 56%, Levski Sofia 44%
  • Corners9 corners4 cornersKairat Almaty 9 corners, Levski Sofia 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls14 foulsKairat Almaty 10 fouls, Levski Sofia 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards4 cardsKairat Almaty 3 cards, Levski Sofia 4 cards
  • Passes498 passes415 passesKairat Almaty 498 passes, Levski Sofia 415 passes
  • Pass accuracy85.3%82.2%Kairat Almaty 85.3%, Levski Sofia 82.2%
  • Shots inside box14 shots7 shotsKairat Almaty 14 shots, Levski Sofia 7 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks2 blocksKairat Almaty 7 blocks, Levski Sofia 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save6 savesKairat Almaty 1 save, Levski Sofia 6 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsideKairat Almaty 3 offsides, Levski Sofia 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lucas Áfrico · Kairat Almaty · 12′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMarc Gual · Kairat Almaty · 32′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Shirobokov · Kairat Almaty · 37′ · 0.00 xG · on targetEverton Bala · Levski Sofia · 45′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedReinaldo · Levski Sofia · 45′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedOiva Jukkola · Kairat Almaty · 52′ · 0.00 xG · on targetJaakko Oksanen · Kairat Almaty · 55′ · 0.00 xG · on targetMarc Gual · Kairat Almaty · 64′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMansur Birkurmanov · Kairat Almaty · 87′ · 0.00 xG · on targetMarc Gual · Kairat Almaty · 7′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEverton Bala · Levski Sofia · 10′ · 0.01 xG · on targetArmstrong Oko-Flex · Levski Sofia · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLucas Áfrico · Kairat Almaty · 58′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGašper Trdin · Levski Sofia · 61′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSerginho · Levski Sofia · 67′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOiva Jukkola · Kairat Almaty · 67′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOiva Jukkola · Kairat Almaty · 72′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarc Gual · Kairat Almaty · 78′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLucas Áfrico · Kairat Almaty · 81′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOiva Jukkola · Kairat Almaty · 82′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLuís Mata · Kairat Almaty · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOiva Jukkola · Kairat Almaty · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedReinaldo · Levski Sofia · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedReinaldo · Levski Sofia · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMansur Birkurmanov · Kairat Almaty · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Mrynskiy · Kairat Almaty · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarc Gual · Kairat Almaty · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLucas Áfrico · Kairat Almaty · 76′ · 0.04 xG · on targetReinaldo · Levski Sofia · 13′ · 0.10 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Kairat Almaty: 20 shots, 6 on target, 0.25 xG. Levski Sofia: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.20 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.250.50′HT90′Reinaldo · Levski Sofia · 13′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Kairat Almaty 0.25 xG · Levski Sofia 0.20 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Kairat Almaty
0Draws
1Levski Sofia
Levski Sofia — Kairat Almaty · UEFA Champions League1–0

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Kairat Almaty1 matches
  • Levski Sofia1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

These two clubs played in different competitions last season, so the values are shown side by side without ranking them against each other.

Kairat Almaty

Competition
UEFA Champions League
Season
2025/26
Sample
16 matches
Profile grade
B
Data cutoff
30 May 2026
  • Goals scored0.88 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.63 goals/match
  • Expected goals0.78 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed2.95 xG/match
  • Shots10.3 shots/match
  • Shots allowed17.4 shots/match
  • Shots on target2.91 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed7.18 shots/match
  • Possession40.8%
  • Corners2.73 corners/match
  • Corners allowed7.45 corners/match
  • Fouls11.7 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency38%
  • Scoring frequency56%

Levski Sofia

Competition
UEFA Conference League
Season
2025/26
Sample
4 matches
Profile grade
C
Data cutoff
27 May 2026
  • Goals scored1 goal/match
  • Goals allowed1.5 goals/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency50%
  • Scoring frequency75%

How competition percentiles work

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 11 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsKairat AlmatyLevski Sofia
CompetitionUEFA Champions League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this