This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Olympique de Marseille won 4–0.
- Shots
- 14–5
- Shots on target
- 8–2
- Expected goals
- 1.89–0.2
- Possession
- 67%–33%
This match
Match statistics
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
- off target
- on target
- goal
- penalty
- size = xG
Olympique de Marseille: 14 shots, 8 on target, 1.94 xG. RC Strasbourg: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.21 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Olympique de Marseille 1.94 xG · RC Strasbourg 0.21 xG.
Full time
What the match recorded
Olympique de Marseille beat RC Strasbourg 4–0. Recorded in this match (Olympique de Marseille – RC Strasbourg): shots 14–5, shots on target 8–2, expected goals 1.89–0.2, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Season-opening preview
Current-season evidence is still building.
This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.
1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade
Current season so far
Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.
- Olympique de Marseille1 matches
- RC Strasbourg1 matches
Previous-season context
Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.
Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.
Olympique de Marseille
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 34 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 29 May 2026
- Goals scored1.85 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.32 goals/match
- Expected goals1.79 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.36 xG/match
- Shots15.1 shots/match
- Shots allowed10.6 shots/match
- Shots on target5.74 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed3.97 shots/match
- Possession57%
- Corners5.18 corners/match
- Corners allowed3.62 corners/match
- Cards2.44 cards/match
- Fouls12.7 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency26%
- Scoring frequency76%
RC Strasbourg
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 34 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 29 May 2026
- Goals scored1.71 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.38 goals/match
- Expected goals1.55 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.34 xG/match
- Shots11.4 shots/match
- Shots allowed12.6 shots/match
- Shots on target4.65 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed4.56 shots/match
- Possession53.7%
- Corners4.24 corners/match
- Corners allowed4.62 corners/match
- Cards2.16 cards/match
- Fouls11.3 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency26%
- Scoring frequency82%
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Olympique de Marseille
AS Monaco
RC Lens
Auxerre
Troyes
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