This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Brentford won 3–0.
- Shots
- 26–9
- Shots on target
- 8–4
- Expected goals
- 3.87–0.57
- Possession
- 40%–60%
This match
Match statistics
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
- off target
- on target
- goal
- penalty
- size = xG
Brentford: 26 shots, 8 on target, 4.07 xG. Tottenham Hotspur: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.47 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brentford 4.07 xG · Tottenham Hotspur 0.47 xG.
Full time
What the match recorded
Brentford beat Tottenham Hotspur 3–0. Recorded in this match (Brentford – Tottenham Hotspur): shots 26–9, shots on target 8–4, expected goals 3.87–0.57, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Season-opening preview
Current-season evidence is still building.
This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.
1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade
Current season so far
Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.
- Brentford1 matches
- Tottenham Hotspur1 matches
Previous-season context
Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.
Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.
Brentford
- Competition
- Premier League
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 38 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 24 May 2026
- Goals scored1.45 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.37 goals/match
- Expected goals1.59 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.42 xG/match
- Shots10.7 shots/match
- Shots allowed13.3 shots/match
- Shots on target3.87 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed4.29 shots/match
- Possession47.5%
- Corners4.79 corners/match
- Corners allowed5.37 corners/match
- Cards1.97 cards/match
- Fouls10.6 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency26%
- Scoring frequency68%
Tottenham Hotspur
- Competition
- Premier League
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 38 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 24 May 2026
- Goals scored1.26 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.5 goals/match
- Expected goals1.08 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.35 xG/match
- Shots11.4 shots/match
- Shots allowed12.3 shots/match
- Shots on target3.84 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed4 shots/match
- Possession50.3%
- Corners5.5 corners/match
- Corners allowed4.82 corners/match
- Cards2.76 cards/match
- Fouls12.1 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency24%
- Scoring frequency82%
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Brentford
Leeds United
Newcastle United
Ipswich Town
Sunderland
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Crystal Palace