This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
This match
Match statistics
| Metric | NEC Nijmegen | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 15 shots/match▲ | 9 shots/match |
| Shots on target | 10 shots/match▲ | 6 shots/match |
| Expected goals | 2.24 xG/match▲ | 0.76 xG/match |
| Possession | 62% | 38% |
| Corners | 7 corners/match | 2 corners/match |
| Fouls | 14 fouls/match | 14 fouls/match |
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.
- off target
- on target
- goal
- penalty
- size = xG
NEC Nijmegen: 16 shots, 10 on target, 2.46 xG. Excelsior: 9 shots, 6 on target, 1.08 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: NEC Nijmegen 2.46 xG · Excelsior 1.08 xG.
30-second read
What the record shows
The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
Unavailable analysis
The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.
Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.