Eredivisie · 2025Sat, 9 Aug 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timePhilips StadionFull-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricPSV EindhovenSparta Rotterdam
Shots22 shots/match8 shots/match
Shots on target12 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals1.65 xG/match1.13 xG/match
Possession66%34%
Corners8 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match2 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Patrick van Aanholt · Sparta Rotterdam · 12′ · 0.01 xG · on targetCouhaib Driouech · PSV Eindhoven · 75′ · 0.01 xG · on targetEsmir Bajraktarević · PSV Eindhoven · 76′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCouhaib Driouech · PSV Eindhoven · 76′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRyan Flamingo · PSV Eindhoven · 11′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMauro Júnior · PSV Eindhoven · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTobias Lauritsen · Sparta Rotterdam · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRuben van Bommel · PSV Eindhoven · 3′ · 0.03 xG · goalSayfallah Ltaief · Sparta Rotterdam · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSayfallah Ltaief · Sparta Rotterdam · 69′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJens Toornstra · Sparta Rotterdam · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSergiño Dest · PSV Eindhoven · 45′ · 0.04 xG · goalJoey Veerman · PSV Eindhoven · 50′ · 0.05 xG · goalSayfallah Ltaief · Sparta Rotterdam · 11′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 23′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJerdy Schouten · PSV Eindhoven · 23′ · 0.07 xG · on targetIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 52′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedYarek Gasiorowski · PSV Eindhoven · 77′ · 0.08 xG · goalCouhaib Driouech · PSV Eindhoven · 83′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSergiño Dest · PSV Eindhoven · 33′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJoey Veerman · PSV Eindhoven · 39′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAyoub Oufkir · Sparta Rotterdam · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetSergiño Dest · PSV Eindhoven · 35′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRyan Flamingo · PSV Eindhoven · 53′ · 0.11 xG · on targetIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 53′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 70′ · 0.11 xG · goalYarek Gasiorowski · PSV Eindhoven · 58′ · 0.12 xG · on targetIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 40′ · 0.15 xG · goalIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 5′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedSayfallah Ltaief · Sparta Rotterdam · 63′ · 0.89 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

PSV Eindhoven: 23 shots, 12 on target, 1.72 xG. Sparta Rotterdam: 8 shots, 4 on target, 1.16 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Ruben van Bommel · PSV Eindhoven · 3′Ivan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 40′Sergiño Dest · PSV Eindhoven · 45′Joey Veerman · PSV Eindhoven · 50′Guus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 70′Yarek Gasiorowski · PSV Eindhoven · 77′Sayfallah Ltaief · Sparta Rotterdam · 63′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: PSV Eindhoven 1.72 xG · Sparta Rotterdam 1.16 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · Unavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Aug 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4