Eredivisie · 2025Sun, 10 Aug 2025, 12:30 UTCFull timeJohan Cruijff ArenAFull-time recap
20Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAFC AjaxSC Telstar
Shots15 shots/match18 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals1.69 xG/match1.08 xG/match
Possession62%38%
Corners8 corners/match10 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Jeff Hardeveld · SC Telstar · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSteven Berghuis · AFC Ajax · 51′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDanny Bakker · SC Telstar · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSoufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDylan Mertens · SC Telstar · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDevon Koswal · SC Telstar · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSteven Berghuis · AFC Ajax · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJeff Hardeveld · SC Telstar · 14′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTyrone Owusu · SC Telstar · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOwen Wijndal · AFC Ajax · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGuus Offerhaus · SC Telstar · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSebastiaan Hagedoorn · SC Telstar · 78′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSteven Berghuis · AFC Ajax · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedWout Weghorst · AFC Ajax · 38′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMilan Zonneveld · SC Telstar · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSteven Berghuis · AFC Ajax · 11′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDanny Bakker · SC Telstar · 64′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOscar Gloukh · AFC Ajax · 86′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKenneth Taylor · AFC Ajax · 21′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSoufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedYouri Baas · AFC Ajax · 55′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMilan Zonneveld · SC Telstar · 50′ · 0.10 xG · on targetPatrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 4′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 4′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMilan Zonneveld · SC Telstar · 64′ · 0.14 xG · on targetMika Godts · AFC Ajax · 74′ · 0.14 xG · on targetSteven Berghuis · AFC Ajax · 37′ · 0.15 xG · on targetSoufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 47′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMilan Zonneveld · SC Telstar · 3′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedWout Weghorst · AFC Ajax · 83′ · 0.18 xG · goalWout Weghorst · AFC Ajax · 19′ · 0.20 xG · goalKenneth Taylor · AFC Ajax · 82′ · 0.22 xG · on targetBertrand Traoré · AFC Ajax · 40′ · 0.28 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AFC Ajax: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.68 xG. SC Telstar: 18 shots, 5 on target, 1.30 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Wout Weghorst · AFC Ajax · 19′Wout Weghorst · AFC Ajax · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AFC Ajax 1.68 xG · SC Telstar 1.30 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · Unavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Aug 2025, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4
AFC Ajax vs SC Telstar — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath