Eredivisie · 2025Sat, 16 Aug 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeHitachi Capital Mobility StadiumFull-time recap
21Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFC GroningenSC Heerenveen
Shots8 shots/match16 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals0.75 xG/match1.7 xG/match
Possession55%45%
Corners3 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Maxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 31′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEspen Van Ee · SC Heerenveen · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOliver Braude · SC Heerenveen · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Linday · SC Heerenveen · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNikolai Soyset Hopland · SC Heerenveen · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJorg Schreuders · FC Groningen · 13′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBrynjólfur Darri Willumsson · FC Groningen · 29′ · 0.04 xG · goalLuuk Brouwers · SC Heerenveen · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDavid van der Werff · FC Groningen · 84′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBrynjólfur Darri Willumsson · FC Groningen · 9′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSam Kersten · SC Heerenveen · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVáclav Sejk · SC Heerenveen · 68′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedEspen Van Ee · SC Heerenveen · 56′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMarco Rente · FC Groningen · 72′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTika de Jonge · FC Groningen · 13′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 59′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedBrynjólfur Darri Willumsson · FC Groningen · 66′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 25′ · 0.28 xG · on targetBrynjólfur Darri Willumsson · FC Groningen · 90′ · 0.36 xG · goalMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 69′ · 0.38 xG · on targetEser Gürbüz · SC Heerenveen · 90′ · 0.38 xG · on targetJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 15′ · 0.55 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Groningen: 8 shots, 5 on target, 0.80 xG. SC Heerenveen: 16 shots, 5 on target, 2.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson · FC Groningen · 29′Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson · FC Groningen · 90′Jacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 15′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Groningen 0.80 xG · SC Heerenveen 2.13 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

FC Groningen favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · SC Heerenveen in 0 · 14 too close

Goals scoredseason · 2/2
Goals allowedseason · 2/2
Expected goalsseason · 2/2
Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2
Shotsseason · 2/2
Shots allowedseason · 2/2
Shots on targetseason · 2/2
Shots on target allowedseason · 2/2
Possessionseason · 2/2
Cornersseason · 2/2
Corners allowedseason · 2/2
Cardsseason · 0/0
Foulsseason · 2/2
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 2/2
Scoring frequencyseason · 2/2

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

FC Groningen
SC Heerenveen
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

FC Groningen
SC Heerenveen
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

FC Groningen
SC Heerenveen
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

FC Groningen
SC Heerenveen
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

FC Groningen
SC Heerenveen
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

FC Groningen
SC Heerenveen
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

FC Groningen
SC Heerenveen
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Window

Last 10

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Window

Season

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

1 / 1 matches
Goals scored1/1
Goals allowed1/1
Expected goals1/1
Shots1/1
Shots on target1/1
Possession1/1
Corners1/1
Cards0/0
Fouls1/1

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.27 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.04 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Aug 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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