Eredivisie · 2025Sun, 17 Aug 2025, 14:45 UTCFull timeKras StadionFull-time recap
22Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFC VolendamAZ Alkmaar
Shots8 shots/match19 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals0.47 xG/match1.46 xG/match
Possession34%66%
Corners3 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Ibrahim Sadiq · AZ Alkmaar · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDenso Kasius · AZ Alkmaar · 42′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYannick Leliendal · FC Volendam · 48′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHenk Veerman · FC Volendam · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTroy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRo-Zangelo Daal · AZ Alkmaar · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRo-Zangelo Daal · AZ Alkmaar · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBrandley Kuwas · FC Volendam · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSven Mijnans · AZ Alkmaar · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRobert Mühren · FC Volendam · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMees De Wit · AZ Alkmaar · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIsak Steiner Jensen · AZ Alkmaar · 87′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBrandley Kuwas · FC Volendam · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTroy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 67′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMees De Wit · AZ Alkmaar · 72′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMexx Meerdink · AZ Alkmaar · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSven Mijnans · AZ Alkmaar · 15′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDenso Kasius · AZ Alkmaar · 21′ · 0.06 xG · on targetIbrahim Sadiq · AZ Alkmaar · 33′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMexx Meerdink · AZ Alkmaar · 57′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKees Smit · AZ Alkmaar · 78′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAurelio Oehlers · FC Volendam · 7′ · 0.10 xG · goalXavier Mbuyamba · FC Volendam · 65′ · 0.10 xG · goalJoel Ideho · FC Volendam · 62′ · 0.14 xG · on targetIbrahim Sadiq · AZ Alkmaar · 16′ · 0.21 xG · goalTroy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 54′ · 0.22 xG · goalSven Mijnans · AZ Alkmaar · 19′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Volendam: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.47 xG. AZ Alkmaar: 19 shots, 3 on target, 1.40 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Aurelio Oehlers · FC Volendam · 7′Xavier Mbuyamba · FC Volendam · 65′Ibrahim Sadiq · AZ Alkmaar · 16′Troy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 54′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Volendam 0.47 xG · AZ Alkmaar 1.40 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

FC Volendam favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · AZ Alkmaar in 0 · 14 too close

Goals scoredseason · 2/2
Goals allowedseason · 2/2
Expected goalsseason · 2/2
Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2
Shotsseason · 2/2
Shots allowedseason · 2/2
Shots on targetseason · 2/2
Shots on target allowedseason · 2/2
Possessionseason · 2/2
Cornersseason · 2/2
Corners allowedseason · 2/2
Cardsseason · 0/0
Foulsseason · 2/2
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 2/2
Scoring frequencyseason · 2/2

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

FC Volendam
AZ Alkmaar
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

FC Volendam
AZ Alkmaar
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

FC Volendam
AZ Alkmaar
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

FC Volendam
AZ Alkmaar
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

FC Volendam
AZ Alkmaar
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

FC Volendam
AZ Alkmaar
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

FC Volendam
AZ Alkmaar
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Window

Last 10

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Window

Season

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

1 / 1 matches
Goals scored1/1
Goals allowed1/1
Expected goals1/1
Shots1/1
Shots on target1/1
Possession1/1
Corners1/1
Cards0/0
Fouls1/1

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.86 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.09 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Aug 2025, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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