Süper Lig · 2025Sat, 9 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCFull timeSamsun Yeni 19 Mayıs StadyumuFull-time recap
21Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSamsunsporGençlerbirliği
Shots9 shots/match8 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals1.18 xG/match0.32 xG/match
Possession62%38%
Corners2 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Logi Tomasson · Samsunspor · 76′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSamed Onur · Gençlerbirliği · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNany Dimata · Samsunspor · 13′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAbdurrahim Dursun · Gençlerbirliği · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCelil Yüksel · Samsunspor · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMetehan Mimaroğlu · Gençlerbirliği · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCelil Yüksel · Samsunspor · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarlo Holse · Samsunspor · 67′ · 0.02 xG · goalThalisson Kelven · Gençlerbirliği · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMetehan Mimaroğlu · Gençlerbirliği · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCarlo Holse · Samsunspor · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMetehan Mimaroğlu · Gençlerbirliği · 88′ · 0.06 xG · goalFiratcan Üzüm · Gençlerbirliği · 32′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDimitris Goutas · Gençlerbirliği · 62′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMarius Mouandilmadji · Samsunspor · 18′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedArbnor Muja · Samsunspor · 72′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMarius Mouandilmadji · Samsunspor · 38′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Samsunspor: 9 shots, 3 on target, 1.20 xG. Gençlerbirliği: 8 shots, 1 on target, 0.33 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Marius Mouandilmadji · Samsunspor · 38′Carlo Holse · Samsunspor · 67′Metehan Mimaroğlu · Gençlerbirliği · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Samsunspor 1.20 xG · Gençlerbirliği 0.33 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · Unavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4